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• Football Top Plays (+1682) 66-45 L111 59%
• NFL Overall Plays (+1257) 60-44 L104 58% NFL STRONG 4000* GAME OF THE MONTH!!! OUR BEST 4000* BLOW OUT MOVE FROM RED HOT CAPPER .. ALL THE PLANETS ARE IN LINE AS THIS BABY IS A 35-0 FINAL .. ,LOOK AT THESE RESULTS!!! All Sports Top Plays (+889) 11-2 L13 85%
On Sunday the NFL system club play is Over the total in the Colts at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system I use that dates to 1989. What we want to do is go over the total for teams on the road when the spread is -3 to +3 if they are off a home game where the spread was -3 to +3 and they scored 35 or more points, with 250 or more yards passing,and today's opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed over 85% of the time and averages 52 points per game in all games it has applied to over the last 20 years.
The Colts are coming off the big gift win at home against the Patriots,a game they should have lost. The last 2 years they have had no problems with the Ravens defense,torching them for 75 points. In fact the last time these 2 teams played here the game produced 64 points. The Colts should have no problems scoring today.
Baltimore is coming off a solid defensive effort in shutting out the pathetic Cleveland Offense. However they were somewhat conservative on offense knowing the Browns would be hard pressed to score on them. Look for the Ravens to open it up on offense today and score some points on an Indy defense that was really picked apart last week by the Patriots. Take the Over here today. In late phone action I have a Huge card with the NFC Game of the year, the Big Triple system dog of the week,which cashed again last week with Gbay and the Blowout system with a 100% subset system plus 1 other big 92% system play. NFL has been piping hot cashing 9 of the last 12. NBA and College hoops system plays will be on later report.Saturday we crushed big again in football.More damage today. Dont miss out,jump on and make some nice change with the Holidays fast approaching. Go over the total here with The Colts and Ravens. RV.
Washington has played the Cowboys very tough the last 4 years. The Redskins have won 5 of their last 8 meetings with the Cowboys outright, and have covered the spread in 6 of those 8 games. Washington can actually get within two games of the NFC East lead with a win Sunday, so their season is far from over after beating the Broncos 27-17 last week. The Redskins are 9-1 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992. The underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Clearly, all the value in this game Sunday is with Washington and the points. Take the Redskins.
Ryan won his 25* NFL Game of the year w/Dallas defeating Philadelphia as a 3 pt. Dog + just yesterday won his 25* CFB Game of the Year with 8.5 DOG Syracuse destroying Rutgers 31-13. Ryan loves this play just as much + comes with a 27-year proven system + angles sporting a 31-6 ATS mark for 84% winners.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Cleveland as they take on the Detroit Lions in what has to be to regarded as the 2009 Toilet Bowl. AiS shows a 78% probability that Cleveland will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 58% probability of winning the game. Without the aid of my AiS neural net, I would not even look at this game – nor would you for that matter. But, this is one of countless reasons the AiS has given me the opportunity to make more money with opportunities that I would have overlooked simply because of subjective reasoning. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 73-41 ATS since 1999. Play against home teams in November where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses. The Browns Cribbs may be the single player on the field that will have the greatest impact in propelling the browns to their 2nd win. Detroit is one of the worst kick coverage teams in the league period. I will even go out on a limb and state that he will run one back. Despite the fact that the Browns rank 32nd in passing offense they are going up against the 32nd ranked passing defense. Quinn had pressure in his face as soon as he planted to throw in the MNF game against Baltimore. He will certainly have more time to throw. When he does get time he is a very accurate QB with loads of confidence. The biggest difference in this game is that the Browns defense is a far superior unit to their Lions counterparts. They played well and with heart throughout the entire loss to the Ravens. Take Cleveland.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Washington Redskins +11
Condensed writeups today to get plays out ASAP so you can lock in your wagers. This is a rivalry game and we rarely see blowouts in such contests. In fact, seven of the last 10 games in this series have been decided by five points or less. Last year, the winning margin in the two games was 2 and 4 points. I expect another close one here. This series has been all about the dog. The underdog is 14-9 SU and an impressive 18-5 ATS dating back to 1997. Also, plays against favorites of 10.5 or more points - excellent offensive team (>=5.8 ypp) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 ypp) are 25-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system illustrates how Dallas has been overvalued in this spot against a solid Washington defense. Take the points.
This game has become a pivotal one in the NFC as both of these teams sit at 5-4. The fact that the wildcard race sees four teams in the NFC at 5-4, the winner takes a leg up here while the loser could be in big trouble. The Giants opened the season with five straight wins, but have suddenly dropped four in a row. They own four of their five wins vs. teams that have a combined record of 8-28, so the jury is still out on just how good this team really is. The proof may be in the fact that this Giants team has allowed just 40 points in four games vs. losing teams (10 points per game), but they have been torched for 32.8 ppg in their five games against winning teams. New York's running game has not been as lethal this season, as in seasons' past. They are still gaining a respectable 4.37 yards per carry, but that pales in contrast to the potent land attack they had a year ago when they produced over five yards a pop. That has put QB Eli Manning in more situations of third and long. It has also shown itself in the interception department as Eli threw just 10 picks all last year and this year he has thrown eight already. The Giants No. 1 defensive ranking in yards allowed is misleading as they rank just No. 21 in the league in points allowed - worse than Atlanta. The Falcons have played their best after a straight-up loss where they are now 10-1 ATS, and I would expect their "A" game here which they have brought every time after a loss. This has been a road-dominated series over the years with the road team collecting the cash in the last seven, and that includes Atlanta getting the money in the last four played in New York. My computer matchup for this game has Atlanta keeping this one close. I agree that they will keep it close, and may even win.
Oakland is 15-5-1 UNDER their last 21 November games and they are 8-3 UNDER their last 11 home games. The Raiders are 40-16-2 UNDER their last 58 games vs. a team with a winning record 20-8-2 OVER after scoring less than 15 points in their last game. Cincinnati is 7-0 UNDER their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 yards in their last game. Cincinnati is 6-1 UNDER their last 7 games as favorites. The Bengals are 10-3 UNDER off an ATS win. PLAY ON 'UNDER'
Another profit producing week for Craig! Craig has been heating it up lately going a sizzling 6-2 to start the week. A big week ahead for Craig as he has some huge football and basketball winners starting on THURSDAY and rolling all the way thru Sunday. Get in and buy a weekly package and save over 60%! GUARANTEED to show a profit!
PHI -3: One of the most dissapointing teams this season has been the CHI Bears. This will be the 2nd straight week that they are featured in a prime time game and think we will see the same results. When the trade of Cutler was made I wrote an article stating how over rated he was. His accuracy has been even worse this season and his decision making has been dowright terrible. The Bears have a lack of playmakers on offense that makes it even more difficult for an average QB to shine. The Eagles on the other hand have an abundance of playmakers. Jackson has been one of the better WR's in the league this year and is a threat to take it to the house on nearly every play. The Eagles have put themselves in a position where they need to finish 5-2 at a minimum and looking at their schedule this one is a must win. The Eagles defense has been exposed the last two weeks with the blitzes not finding their home very often. Good news this week is that the Bears offensive line can't protect Cutler and have been giving up a ton of sacks. This week the Eagles defense will carry the load creating a ton of to's and possibly even TD's. A double digit win by the Eagles.
The Atlanta Falcons become much more one dimensional with Michael Turner out of the lineup. Matt Ryan is having a tough time lately and the Giants defense will likely be swarming in this one. I see the Giants trying to run the football quite a bit in this one and the clock rolling while this one stays low scoring. The Giants know they need this win badly, and I think that will lead to one of the best defensive efforts we have seen from them in a while.
I think this line is simply too high fro a divisional matchup that is one of the bigger rivalries in football. The Redskins are coming off a much needed with last week at home against the Broncos and that momentum should carry right into this game. While the season has been closed shut by many, a win here and Washington is just two games back in the NFC East. Granted there are three teams in front but there is always the possibility and this team should rise to the occasion once again. Despite losing six of nine games this season, Washington has either outgained or been even statistically with its opponent in seven of those games including seven of the last eight. The two games that the Redskins were on the wrong end of the stat chart they were outgained by only 79 and 50 yards. The Cowboys are coming off that loss in Green Bay that has people scratching their heads once again. I was on the Packers so it was not a surprise to me and now the thinking is that it will be a big bounce back for the Cowboys. I don’t think it is that easy. Dallas struggled on offense and it was criticized for not running the ball much so we are going to see the Cowboys take it to the ground more. The Redskins know this and we may see more interior stunts and zone run blitzes from the Redskins to counter. Tony Romo had a pretty bad game last week and he has been known to bounce back but as inconsistent as he is, we could easily see another blowup. The Redskins will be without Clinton Portis once again due to a concussion but Ladell Betts filled in very well last week and that came against a solid Broncos defense. He rushed for 114 yards on 26 carries (4.4 ypc) and overall Washington ran for 174 yards against Denver. Quarterback Jason Campbell takes a lot of heat but he has put together three straight solid performances with passer ratings of 91.6, 92.2 and 100.3. In three career starts against the Cowboys he has an 87.6 passer rating and the Redskins have won two of those three meetings, including last year in Dallas, 26-24 when they were underdogs of right around the same number. Washington will need to force turnovers as in Dallas’ three losses, it has nine turnovers while in the six wins, it has only five. That loss to the Packers last week by Dallas sets Washington up in a very good angle. Play against divisional home favorites of 10.5 or more points that are coming off a loss as a favorite. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1983. It is very simple yet effective and has stood the course as it goes back 26 years. Washington is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against teams that average 260 or more passing ypg in the second half of the season. The Cowboys are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points while under underdog has been a solid proposition in this series, covering 20 of the last 27 meetings. 3* Washington Redskins
Matt is coming off a small profit in Week 10 NFL but a profit is a profit! His BIG GAME WON again as Green Bay took it outright over Dallas! That extended his 10* NFL Reports to an ASTOUNDING 11-1 ATS (91.7%)! He has now shown a profit in 6 of the last 7 weeks and the latest 10* MONSTER is here for Sunday! You know what to do! Grab it now we hit another HUGE play!
The Chiefs have not been an impressive football team this season but they are in a favorable position to cover the number against the Steelers. Troy Polomalu is out and this information alone gives us the green light to play K.C. as a double digit home underdog. Polomalu's presence makes the Pittsburgh Steelers a Super Bowl Contender. Without him Pittsburgh is not much better than an average football team. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS this season in games played without Polomalu and also including the games he played but left because of injury. The Steelers are not great at covering spreads, particularly on the road as they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road contests. One thing you have to understand with Mike Tomlin is that he plays to win and couldn't care less whether his team wins by 3 touchdowns or a field goal. As a result, the Steelers are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite. That being said, expect the Steelers to win but most likely by no more than a touchdown.
Alex is the #1 Ranked NFL Capper over the last 60 days and #3 on the NFL Leaderboard! His last 2 5Packs were 4-1! He has another winning 5Pack which includes a 5* Platinum Selection for this coming Sunday at a very special rate of only $39.99! If Alex fails to win at least 3 out of 5 selections you will have a 3 Day Subscription ABSOLUTELY FREE!
Free Play for November 22, 2009
1 Unit on Seattle Seahawks +11
Bottom Line: Seattle is 0-4 SU & ATS on the road this season and they are being undervalued here because of it. While the Vikes are 4-0 at home this season, they are just 1-2-1 ATS in those games. Minnesota has a big division date with Chicago up next and it will be much more concerned about the Bears than the Seahawks today. While Seattle has been poor in defending the pass, consider that underdogs of 10.5 or more points allowing a completion percentage of 64% or more after allowing 8 or more yards per pass in their previous game are 24-7 ATS since 1983. Plus, the Vikings are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. Take the Seahawks.
If the guy thought his defense was any good, he would have punted on 4th down. After the Patriots’ defense gives up yards and points to the sorry Jets and their seriously deluded rookie QB, people will start to understand. The Patriots are back in we must out- score the opponent mode. The New England Patriots are ranked 2 on offense, averaging 416.8 yards per game. The Patriots are averaging 114.1 yards rushing and 302.7 yards passing so far this season. Over is 6-0-1 in Jets last 7 games in November and 5-1 in Jets last 6 vs. AFC. Over is 4-0-1 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. TAKE THE OVER HERE
Free Play for 11/22/09
1 Unit on New York Jets +11
The Patriots will be out to avenge an earlier season loss to the Jets but it won't be easy against a New York team that has reached desperation mode. While the Pats will no doubt want to avenge last week's heartbreaker to the Colts, it's tough to bounce back from such an emotionally and physically draining performance, especially when the media has constantly reminded them of it all week long. New England has constantly been overvalued in division play in recent years and that's no different today. That's why the Pats are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Jets. Overall, the Pats are now just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games against the AFC East while New York is on a 5-1 ATS run on the road against AFC East rivals. Lastly, the Patriots are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Take the points.
Off a devastating loss to the Bengals last week, the Steelers realize there is no longer any margin for error. Pittsburgh now sits 2 games behind Cincinnati in the AFC North after getting swept by the Bengals this season. We fully expect the Steelers to come into Kansas City 100% focused, which will allow them to dominate from start to finish. The Chiefs are scoring just 12.3 points/game at home this season, with their last home contest resulting in a 7-37 loss to San Diego. The Chiefs are just 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons. The Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a non-losing road record. Kansas City is losing by an average of 12.5 points/game at home this season, so there is some value with Pittsburgh who is still one of the best teams in the league despite their 6-3 record. The Steelers' losses have come by 3, 3 and 6 points so they aren't far from being undefeated. We strongly feel a double-digit blowout in favor of Pittsburgh is inevitable by game's end in this one. Take the Steelers and lay the points.
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1* Take the Washington Redskins ATS, This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and we are getting very good line value with the Redskins here Sunday afternoon. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Cowboys and the Underdog has covered in 20 of the last 27 games between these two teams. The Cowboys are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of -10.5 points or more and they are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against an NFC East opponent. Dallas has not beaten the Redskins by more than 5 points over their last 4 meetings and the Redskins have won 2 of the last 4 meetings with the Cowboys outright. The Redskins are coming off a big win at home against Denver and I look for them to build on that win heading to Dallas. Take the Washington Redskins as my NFL Free Play for Sunday as they keep this game close.
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Today's FREE WINNER is New Orleans over Tampa Bay.
The Buc's have taken alot of hits to their defense this year. Now, in the past week they have lost Safety Will Allen and LB Rod Wilson. That will just open the door even wider for the NFL's most explosive air attack. QB Drew Brees will add to his 19 TD's and 2559 YP. The successful running game of the Saint's, now makes them a double threat. Tampa's biggest losses this season were to New England 35-7, Philly 33-14, and New York 24-0. All teams that are considered passing teams. Today they must face the most feared passing team in the league. The Buc's will rely on the very inexperienced Josh Freeman at QB. The road team is 9-3 ATS their L12 meetings and the Saint's are 5-2 ATS their L7 in Tampa Bay. New Orleans is also 6-1-1 ATS their L8 road games and 11-3 ATS their L14 as a favorite. Tampa Bay is 3-8 ATS their L11 overall and 1-7 ATS their L8 at home. New Orleans lights up Tampa Bay. Thank you.
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