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St. Louis is 7-3-1 OVER their Last 11 games as road underdogs and they are 35-17-4 OVER their last 56 games vs. righty starters. Starter Brad Thompson has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Cardinals are 9-3 OVER their last 12 meetings with the Reds. Cincinnati starter Micah Owings has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. The Reds are 12-5 OVER their last 17 Games vs. winning teams. The Reds are 8-2 OVER on Saturday. PLAY ON 'OVER' (Owings vs. Thompson)
On Saturday the 4 th of July the comp play is the Ny.Yankees game970 at 1:05 eastern.The Yanks are a nice dog play here due to the fact their facing R.Halladay today.I have a nice system that plays against road favorites that applies to this game.The system is 13-23 with a return of investement of over 25%.What we want to do is play against certain road favorites off a road dog loss of 2+ runs if they scored 2 runs or less and the opponent scored 4 runs or less and both teams had 5+ hits.These road favs are 10 games under 500.Always a good idea to fade a favorite under those circumstances.The Yankees average 5.7 runs per game in day time affairs and have a much improved C.M.Wang pitching today.The Jays have Halladay making his second start back from the disabled list today.This is his first start in the Yanks new park.Like J.Santanna found out earlier in the year,even the laziest of fly balls make it out of this park.With Halladay a fly ball pitcher,he may give up some runs here.Lets try the Yanks today.The 4TH OF JULY SPECIAL package is still in effect and were coming off a solid Friday night cashing a big 5 unit play.I have a huge 21-2 SYSTEM SIDE that wins by almost 3 runs per game.Jump on this big winner now!Back the Yanks as the comp play.
The Blue Jays lost game one of this four-game set with the Yankees 4 to 2 on Friday night and look to rebound with their ace on the bump Saturday afternoon. Toronto will send Roy Halladay to the hill with his 10-2 W/L record and ERA of 2.56 on the season. Halladay is 4-2 W/L on the highway this year with an ERA of 1.88. When he takes the bump versus the Yankees he is 16-5 W/L with an ERA of 2.75 and a WHIP of 1.096. Toronto is 21-7 W/L his last twenty-eight starts versus New York and 10-4 W/L when he takes the mound in Gotham. The Yankees are 9-22 W/L (-16.7) versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons. New York is also 1-6 W/L their last 7 as home underdogs of 150 or less and 2-8 W/L when Wang is installed as an underdog. Todays starter for New York will be Chen-Ming Wang and he has a record of 1-6 W/L on the season struggling out of the gate with an ERA of 10.06. Unfortunately for the Yankees he is worse at home with a record of 0-2 W/L and an ERA of 13.09. Our Pitcher Efficiency Ratings Index project a closer matchup than one would think with Wang struggling but it stills predicts a Halladay win in the end. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index signals a win by the Blue Jays as well by 0.95 runs over the host Yankees. Combine these factors and the Blue Jays get the win in Gotham on Saturday afternoon.
Graded Selection: 2* Toronto Blue Jays 4 New York Yankees 2
There was much hype about Tommy Hanson when he was in the minors. Since his recall his lived up to the hype and much more.
Hanson hasn’t allowed a run in his past three starts, and he’ll look to remain unbeaten in the big leagues when he takes the hill against the Nationals. The rookie sensation is 4-0 with a 2.48 ERA and he’s beaten all-comers including the Red Sox who he limited to two hits over six shutout innings. Did I mention Hanson was suffering from the flu when he did THAT? The right-hander hasn’t allowed a run in 20 innings a string dating back to June 12th in Baltimore, the site of his first MLB win. I can’t say it enough, this guy is the real deal. One last add on Hanson; He’s the first Braves rookie since 1900 to hold his opponents scoreless in three consecutive starts.
The Braves have won five straight and look like they’re a a serious contender in the NL East. They’ve got the pitching and their offense has been going gangbusters even without an injured Nate McClouth. Just seven days ago Atlanta was ranked 26th in the Majors in runs per game but have exploded for 30 runs in their past four games. They got the bats going during a sweep of the Phllies and kept them going last night in a wild 9-8 win over Washington.
If there’s anyone on the Nationals staff who can cool down the Bravos it wold be today’s starter John Lannan. The young lefty enters with a 5-5 record and a 3.45 ERA. He’s 2-2 with a 3.30 ERA in five career starts against the Braves, including 0-1 with a 2.77 ERA this season.
As they showed on Friday night, the Nats are indeed pesky. Whether they can “bug” Hanson much remains to be seen. I’m siding with the hotter pitcher and the hotter team in this D.C. showdown.
Another great day for Craig as his top 5 star plays of day are 5-2 this past 7 days. Even better were three in a row the last three days. Get in now as this one is an easy daylight winner GUARANTEED!! Today's Free play is also a 4 1/2 star play and should win easily!!
Betting Trends
-Dodgers are 6-1 in Wolfs last 7 starts as a favorite.
-Padres are 0-5 in Geers last 5 starts as an underdog.
-Dodgers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
-Padres are 6-14 in their last 20 overall.
Well the first game back for Manny was a success and today think we will see the same thing. The LAD had struggled to score but yesterday with his return they scored 6 runs. Wolf starts for the LAD today and he has been pretty good lately even though he has not got many wins. In his last 4 he has only gave up 8 runs in 20 innings. His real problem has been run support but think he will get it today. Going to the mound for SD is Geer who has been horrible in his last 10 games. He has given up more than 2 runs in every start except 2 in his last 10. In that time period he has one win and his team has only managed to win in his three of the ten games. Expect him to give up 5 runs minimum today in 4 innings. This one will not be close even put a small wager on run line here!!!
HOT HOT HOT Craig's 5 star picks are 3-0 the last three days make sure you check out today's top play: Craig's MLB Fireworks Finisher 5 star play
The Big 4 cash tonight in La... Brian Roberts, Adam Jones, Nick Markakis and Aubrey Huff got hot last night in La..... The O's get to Los Angeles' Sean O'Sullivan late tonight
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