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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 03, 2015
Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals
-144 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

4-unit Play Take #926 Kansas City Royals over Minnesota Twins (8:10pm EST) Jeremy Guthrie has a 5.68 ERA this season and most bettors won't touch him with a ten-foot pole. But sometimes those are places where the value is - on pitchers that have balky ERAs. We like the Royals today for several reasons. First off, Guthrie has had a terrible season but he has pitched a lot better of late. In five of his last six starts he has given up three runs or fewer. And during that span he has a respectable 23-6 K-BB ratio in 28.1 innings of work. He's also aided by the best defense in all of baseball, and has a great bullpen to back him up if the game is tight late. Remember that baseball is a team game and the starting pitcher actually doesn't control as much of it as you think. The Twins have really scuffled of late after leading the AL Central for the first two months of the season. They are just 12-18 over their last 30 games and seem to be reverting back to the team they were last season. Tommy Milone goes for the Twinkies today, and I've never been a big fan of his. He wouldn't be starting in most big league rotations, but luckily for him the Twins have a deficient rotation. Kansas City is the far superior team and should get the victory tonight.

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