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MLB | May 21, 2013
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-139 at 5DIMES
CHICAGO CUBS @ PITTSBURGH
Matt Garza makes his first start since July 21 of last season and he'll have to be on top of his game against Wandy Rodriguez and the Pirates. Garza missed the final two and a half months of 2012 with an elbow injury and was sidelined to start 2013 by an abdominal muscle problem. He made two rehab starts, but only threw a maximum of 75 pitches. He's expected to be on an 85-to-90 pitch count, but this start will be his first high-stress innings in 10 months. The Cubs have had bullpen issues and struggle with left handed starters, with just a 4-8 mark on the season.
Wandy Rodriguez loves pitching at PNC Park. This season, he's 3-1 with a 1.35 ERA and has a 3.64 ERA over his career. He has allowed three or fewer runs in seven of his eight starts and has issued just nine walks in over 44 innings. The Pirates have won eight of their last 10, so they're playing very good ball right now and have one of the National League's top bullpens. The Cubs have the league's worst road offense with a 69 wRC+ and just a .621 OPS. They really struggle away from the hitter-friendly confines of Wrigley Field and the Pirates are 15-9 at home this season.
With Garza just coming back after a very long layoff and a Pirates team playing some good ball right now, there's value in laying this price.
|Owner of Bryan Leonard Sports for the last 30 years. Multiple award winning documented service in all sports. Participant in the Stardust Invitational, finalist in both the Leroy's Money Talks contest and the Sunset Station Invitational here in Las Vegas. Featured speaker the past two seasons in the LasVegas Football Handicapping Seminar.|