Free MLB Pick: Astros vs Orioles Odds
Looking for Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles free picks? MLB betting sees the Astros taking on the Orioles on Sunday, August 21st at Oriole Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(62-60) Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles (67-54)
Date: Sunday August 21, 2016
Time: 1:35 PM ET
Venue: Oriole Park, Baltimore, MD
Projected Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs Yovani Gallardo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Houston -120
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: 9.5
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Dallas Keuchel looks to improve on his miserable season as he takes on the Baltimore Orioles and their potent offense. With 40 games left, both teams are eager to make a dangerous postseason run.
The Astros are desperate to stay alive in the American League Wild Card race as they trail the Orioles by 5.5 games for the final playoff spot. Houston surprised everyone in the majors last season but quickly came back down to Earth this year.
A major reason for the Astros’ success last year and their mediocrity this year is because of Dallas Keuchel.
Last year’s American League Cy Young winner is just 7-12 with a 4.76 ERA and has a bloated 5.74 ERA away from Minute Maid Park.
He’ll toe the rubber against the Orioles in this one, looking to rebound from his last road start where he was shelled for seven earned runs in an 11-0 drubbing to the Tigers.
Keuchel just hasn’t been the same this year and it’s hindered the Astros from being even higher in the standings.
The Orioles currently hold the final Wild Card spot in the American League, but they’re just 1.5 games behind the first-place Blue Jays for the division lead.
Led by the bats of Manny Machado, Mark Trumbo and company, Baltimore ranks in the top-five in slugging, OPS, and home runs.
And at 40-20, the Orioles possess one of the best home records in the American League.
The pitching has been a problem for the mighty Orioles this year, despite ace Chris Tillman having 15 wins.
The O’s are hoping the rest of their staff can get it together in time for a playoff push, including Sunday’s starter Yovani Gallardo.
The veteran Gallardo is 4-4 with a 5.18 ERA but has performed much better at home. When he pitches at Camden Yards, Gallardo has a 3.66 ERA compared to a 6.14 ERA on the road.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- The Astros are 1-4 in Keuchel’s last five starts.
- The Astros are 28-32 on the road.
- Keuchel has a 5.74 road ERA.
- The Orioles are 40-20 at home.
- Gallardo has a 3.18 ERA in August.
Free Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction:
The Astros remain favorites whenever Dallas Keuchel takes the mound and I’m not sure why.
The books clearly think he’s capable of putting up last year’s numbers, but that hasn’t been the case.
On the other hand, Gallardo performs much better at home for the Orioles, a team that owns one of the best home records in the majors. There is great value here with the Orioles, and I think they’ll walk away victorious.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Baltimore ML
There is significant value with the Orioles in this spot as the books seem to think Dallas Keuchel will return to his 2015 form. That hasn’t been the case all year and there’s no reason to think it will start Sunday.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Baltimore 7-4
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