Free MLB Pick: Orioles vs Twins Odds
Looking for Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins free plays? MLB betting sees the Orioles taking on the Twins on Monday, May 9th at Target Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
Date: Monday, May 9, 2016
Time: 8:10 PM ET
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Projected Pitchers: Tyler Wilson vs. Jose Berrios
MLB Moneyline Odds: Twins -107, Orioles -101
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Twins +1.5 -155
MLB Betting Total: 8.5
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Baltimore got off to a hot start and then cooled but they are still in first place in the AL East.
This is a slugging team that is probably going to have wide swings throughout the season depending on when they can jack the ball out of the yard. Minnesota is struggling.
They are the only team in the AL that has yet to reach double figures in victories.
Their homer pace has slowed but the Orioles are 4th in homers and 9th in runs. Those are strong metrics and they seem sustainable given that the source of their power is pretty established.
The way Manny Machado is swing the bat, and playing his usual stellar defence, has to be considered of the front runners for AL MVP.
They are also getting a great bounce back year from Mark Trumbo, who is tied with Machado for the team lead in homers.
For the O’s it will always come down to pitching, which has surprised. Tyler Wilson started the season in the pen but has moved to the rotation to make three starts.
All have been solid and if the bats support him he could be effective even though he is burning the pen with short outings.
That pen has the second best ERA in the Majors thus far. The advanced metrics may not support this group has being elite but they are 8-2 and Zach Britton has yet to blow a save.
This group is not keeping the manager up at night.
Minnesota has the worst record in the American League and their prospects are floundering.
They have lost five in a row and have to be concerned about whether the likes of Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano will be the players they want them to be.
Buxton has been sent down while Sano needs to cut down on his strikeouts to be an effective player. Or at least have the ball leave the yard more to justify them. This team struggles to cobble together hits and does not have enough power to offset that.
Jose Berrios is one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. He is young but has little left to prove in the Minors. He has made two starts and you can see why the Twins are so excited.
Like a lot of young hurlers he can get a bit wild but his stuff is really good. With experience he should be very good. This game will be a big test.
The bullpen is really missing Glenn Perkins and Kevin Jepsen has proven he is not well suited to close ballgames.
Trevor May has been really sharp in the pen this season after not showing much as a starter the last couple of season.
They are mixing and matching as best they can.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- BAL are 22-10 in their last 32 games on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in MIN last 8 Mon. games.
- MIN are 8-26 in their last 34 overall.
- MIN are 8-26 in their last 34 games on grass.
Free Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction:
The Twins are a near must fade but this is a spot I might think twice about, clearly the market/oddsmakers is thinking the same thing with the Twins currently the favourite.
The key is Berrios. He is young and talented and making his first trip through the league.
Baltimore loves to swing and miss and maybe he has his best start to date…or maybe he gets clobbered like a rookie. Hard to tell.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Baltimore ML
I have to admit that sometimes I fall too much in love with the little guy. Maybe Berrios is a future Hall of Famer but for right now, with his sad offense backing him up, Baltimore is the sharper play and a really nice value.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Baltimore 5 – Minnesota 3
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