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Free Miami Beach Bowl Prediction: Bulls vs Hilltoppers Odds
College football betting on the Miami Beach Bowl sees the USF Bulls taking on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Monday, December 21st at Marlins Park, Miami, Florida. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Miami Beach Bowl
USF Bulls (8-4) vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (11-2)
Date: Monday, December 21st, 2015
Time: 2:30 PM ET
Venue: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
NCAA Football Spread: Western Kentucky -3.5
NCAA Betting Total: 64
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The Conference USA Champion Western Kentucky Hilltoppers head to the Miami Beach Bowl to take on the South Florida Bulls.
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Western Kentucky is looking to win 12 games for the third time in their history and South Florida is looking to continue their end of the season momentum.
USF
The South Florida Bulls were one of the most improved teams down the stretch in the college football season. After starting the season 1-3, USF finished off the season at 7-1 with their major scalp coming against the Temple Owls.
By going 8-4 for the season the Bulls ended up with their first winning season since 2010 and if they win the Miami Beach Bowl they’ll win nine games in a season for the first time since 2007.
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The reason for USF’s success down the stretch was the fact that Quinton Flowers stopped turning the ball over.
After the first four games of the season, Flowers threw four interceptions, for the next eight games Fowlers only threw four interceptions in two games.
USF has a strong running attack as they are eleventh in college football lead by Marlon Mack who has rushed for 1,273 yards and eight touchdowns, with Flowers contributing 883 yards and ten touchdowns.
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky had an impressive season as they went 11-2 for the season and won the Conference USA title.
The Hilltoppers only two losses came on the road versus the Indiana Hoosiers and the LSU Tigers, no shame in those two losses.
Senior quarterback Brandon Doughty conducted one of the best offenses in college football. The Hilltoppers were 9th in total yards, 6th in passing yards, and 4th in points scored.
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Doughty completed 71% of his passes, threw for 45 touchdowns, and only seven interceptions. Taywan Taylor was their number one receiver as he caught 79 passes for 1,356 yards and 17 touchdowns.
They can run the ball too, as Anthony Wales took over for the injured Leon Allen and ran for just under 1,000 yards. Wales rushed for 981 yards on 140 carries, that average was good for seven yards a pop and seven touchdowns.
We talked about USF’s explosive rushing attack, the good news for Western Kentucky is the fact that their defense was 50th in rushing yards.
The Hilltoppers should be able to get the Bulls off the field a couple times.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Western Kentucky is 3-0 ATS in their last three games
- Western Kentucky over is 7-3 in last ten games
- USF is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games
- USF over is 4-2 as an underdog in their last six games
Free Miami Beach Bowl NCAA Football Prediction
People are going to overrate USF due to them finishing the season strong and with them playing in their own backyard, but Western Kentucky is the better team. The Hilltoppers have a ton of explosive weapons and they have the much better quarterback.
Typically, when you have the better quarterback, more often than not, that team is going to win and possibly cover.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Western Kentucky ATS -3.5
This is a fantastic spot, there’s a lot of value in Western Kentucky and they are going to put up a ton of points on USF. The Bulls will score their fair share, but they won’t be able to keep up.
Brandon Doughty is going to put on a show and boost his stock for the upcoming NFL Draft and Western Kentucky covers pretty easily.
Miami Beach Bowl Free Score Prediction: Western Kentucky 41 – USF 28
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