Free Week 10 Prediction: Fighting Illini vs Boilermakers Odds
Week 10 College football betting sees the Illinois Fighting Illini taking on the Purdue Boilermakers Saturday November 7 at Ross-Ade Stadium West Lafayette, IN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Illinoi Fighting Illini (4-4) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (2-6)
Date: Saturday, November 7th
Time: 12 PM
Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium West Lafayette, IN
NCAA Football Spread: Illinois -2.5
NCAA Betting Total: 53
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Illinois got off a to a solid start on the season winning 4 of their first 5 games, but they have dropped 3 in a row. However, even on the road they are a 2.5-point underdog facing a 2-win Purdue team.
While Purdue only has 2 wins and is the basement of the Big 10 West division they did only lose to Michigan State by 3 points and they shocked Nebraska in their last game beating the Huskers by 10 points.
Since the 2002 season Purdue has won 8 of their last 10 games facing Illinois.
In their last games Purdue beat Nebraska 55-45 and Illinois lost to Penn State 39-0.
Illinois Fighting Illini
Purdue has a less than stellar defense, but they will be facing an Illinois squad that was shut out in their last game and has only totaled 47 points in 4 Big 10 games.
The Illini have only averaged 67 rushing yards per game in Big 10 play and freshman RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn will be facing a Purdue run defense that ranks 88th in the nation.
Purdue’s pass defense only ranks 92nd so maybe Wes Lunt will have a good game for the Boilermakers, but he does not have a passing TD in the last 2 games.
Purdue needs to contain WR Geronimo Allison, who has almost twice as many catches as the next leading target.
Last season at Illinois the Boilermakers beat Illinois 38-27 and the main reason was they rushed for 349 yards.
In the big win over Nebraska Boilermakers QB David Blough passed for 274 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT and also rushed for 82 yards and a score. RB Markell Jones rushed for 92 yards in the game.
The stats for Illinois are not bad overall, but their first couple games were against cupcake teams where they only gave up 3 combined points. In conference play they are giving up averages of 180 yards on the ground and 216 through the air.
Purdue has both of their wins at home this season while Illinois is 0-3 on the road.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
* Fighting Illini are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* Fighting Illini are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games.
* Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
* Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Boilermakers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Free Week 10 NCAA Football Prediction
The Boilermakers won in a barnburner over Nebraska in their last game and in an interesting trend they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. I look for that trend to continue and Purdue will beat Illinois for the 2nd straight season.
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Don’t look for a defensive battle in this one, as it will be a high scoring game that Purdue will win.
Week 10 Free Score Prediction: Purdue 38 – Illinois 31
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