Free Week 3 Prediction: Falcons vs. Spartans
Week 3 College football betting sees the Air Force Falcons taking on the Michigan State Spartans Saturday September 19th at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions.
Air Force (2-0) vs. Michigan State (2-0)
Date: Saturday September 19th
Time: 12:00 PM
Venue: Spartan Stadium – East Lansing, MI
NCAA Football Spread: Michigan State -26.5
NCAA Betting Total: N/A
NCAA Moneyline Odds: Michigan State -5000, Air Force +2500
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Big win by the Spartans last week has everyone talking playoffs. They are at home this week but it could definitely be a letdown spot.
Air Force was a preseason sleeper for me in the Mountain West. So far no reason to doubt that point of view. Maybe they are even more live if Boise is not Boise.
There is no recent history between these programs to report.
Things are definitely going according to plan for the Falcons so far this season. They are 2-0 and feeling pretty good about themselves heading into their toughest game of the season.
Last week they won and covered against a San Jose State team that many think is on the rise again. The running game took over in the second half and they were able to pull away, rushing for more than 400 yards in the process.
There is going to be no secret as to how they are going to attack Michigan State this weekend. If they are able to sustain some drives they can cover but an upset seems unlikely.
I am wondering if preparing for Oregon last week might hurt Air Force’s chances. The Ducks are a heavy run and sometimes option team as well. We will find out pretty soon.
The Spartans did not cover last week but they did get the important win over Oregon. A win that looks like it could stamp their ticket for the playoffs, even if they don’t take down Ohio State in their annual regular season tilt.
The victory confirmed that the MSU defense is again one of the strongest in the country as they held the Ducks to under three yards per carry while intercepting Vernon Adams a couple of times.
On offense, senior QB Connor Cook was just OK but it looks like he may have found his new go to receiver in senior Aaron Burbridge. Also, redshirt freshman RB Madre London looks like he is going to give them the balance they want on the ground.
There is no doubt the Spartans should win and win big but they still have to put forth the effort on Saturday. Air Force is going to fight them hard.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
- Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 vs. Big Ten.
- Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Spartans last 8 non-conference games.
- Spartans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games in September.
Free Week 3 NCAA Football Prediction:
This game will never really be in doubt but I don’t like the setup for MSU. Once Air Force gets rolling they will be competitive in the second half, holding their ground.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Air Force +26.5
I might go MSU on the first half line in this one.
Week 3 Free Score Prediction: Michigan State 38 – Air Force 24
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