Michael Alexander's MLB Prediction Thread

[Michael Alexander]

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - Aug 21, 2009 7:05 PM EDT

Play on Cleveland w/ Huff
Play Selected Money Line: -115

Rating: 2 Units

SEATTLE is 18-43 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 26-18 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons. Playing against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) with a starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts is 132-71 over the last 5 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 24-21 (-19 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 97-61 (+3263 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 3-3-2 (-60 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Detroit Tigers vs. Oakland Athletics (MLB) - Aug 22, 2009 9:05 PM EDT

Play on Detroit w/ Gallaraga
Play Selected Money Line: -110


Rating: 2 Units

OAKLAND is 3-14 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) this season. DETROIT is 39-19 (+19.3 Units) against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 4-16 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 3 runs or less 5 straight games over the last 3 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 24-22 (-249 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 97-66 (+1846 Units)
NFLX - (Overall PIcks) - 3-4-2 (-280 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

LAA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Aug 23, 2009 1:05 PM EDT

Play on LAA Angels w/ Bell
Play Selected Money Line: 119

Rating: 2 Units

LA ANGELS are 9-1 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after 3 straight games without a stolen base this season. LA ANGELS are 23-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after a win by 4 runs or more this season. LA ANGELS are 27-9 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 24-23 (-459 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 100-67 (+2226 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 6-6-2 (-120 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - Aug 25, 2009 7:05 PM EDT

Play on Philadelphia w/ Blanton
Play Selected Money Line: -167

Rating: 2 Units

BLANTON is 19-7 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 1-14 (-12.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 19-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 24-24 (-659 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 102-69 (+2112 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 6-7-2 (-340 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB) - Aug 27, 2009 7:05 PM EDT

Play on Cleveland w/ Laffey
Play Selected Money Line: 105


Rating: 2 Units

CLEVELAND is 11-5 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season. BALTIMORE is 9-28 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons. CLEVELAND is 17-7 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 24-25 (-993 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 104-73 (+1350 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 6-7-2 (-340 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - Aug 29, 2009 7:15 PM EDT

Play on St. Louis w/ Boggs
Play Selected Money Line: -160


Rating: 2 Units

ST LOUIS is 15-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span this season. ST LOUIS is 28-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more this season. ST LOUIS is 23-5 (+15.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 25-25 (-783 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 107-77 (+1186 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 8-8-2 (-160 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - Aug 30, 2009 2:10 PM EDT

Play on Texas w/ Millwood
Play Selected Money Line: 122


Rating: 2 Units

TEXAS is 17-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. MINNESOTA is 4-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. TEXAS is 19-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ****


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 26-25 (-583 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 110-77 (+1786 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 11-10-2 (+78 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

LAA Angels vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - Sep 7, 2009 2:10 PM EDT

Play on LAA Angels w/ SantanaPlay Selected Money Line: -160

Rating: 2 Units

KANSAS CITY is 1-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 or more this season. KANSAS CITY is 7-17 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season. SANTANA is 8-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 27-25 (-339 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 121-83 (+2593 Units)
NFLX - (Overall Picks) - 15-13-2 (+244 Units)