Michael Alexander's MLB Prediction Thread

[Michael Alexander]

Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - Jul 30, 2009 8:05 PM EDT
Play Title Play on Texas w/ Holland
Play Selected Money Line: -150

Rating: 2 Units

TEXAS is 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter. TEXAS is 22-9 in their last 31 vs. American League West. SEATTLE is 16-40 in the last 56 meetings in Texas.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 13-11 (+59 Units)
MLB - (July Record) - 52-34 (+2180 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (MLB) - Jul 31, 2009 10:05 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Milwaukee w/ Looper
Play Selected Money Line: -106

Rating: 2 Units

LOOPER is 10-3 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. LOOPER is 6-0 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 3-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 14-11 (+259 Units)
MLB - (July Record) - 59-35 (+2280 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - Aug 1, 2009 7:10 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Colorado w/ Jimenez
Play Selected Money Line: -148

Rating: 2 Units

CINCINNATI is 4-12 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season. COLORADO is 20-6 (+15.1 Units) against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. BAILEY is 0-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 14-12 (+147 Units)
MLB - (Overall Record) - 61-37 (+2530 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - Aug 2, 2009 1:10 PM EDT

Play on Colorado w/ Marquis
Play Selected Money Line: -134

Rating: 2 Units

CINCINNATI is 3-12 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games after having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 3 seasons. MARQUIS is 24-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. COLORADO is 25-14 (+13.8 Units) against the money line with a rested bullpen that pitched one inning or less last game over the last 3 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 15-12 (+347 Units)
MLB - (All Plays) - 62-40 (+2119 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - Aug 3, 2009 7:10 PM EDT

Play on Chicago w/ Wells
Play Selected Money Line: -138

Rating: 2 Units

CINCINNATI is 8-20 (-13.2 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games this season. CINCINNATI is 7-19 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span over the last 2 seasons. HARANG is 8-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 16-12 (+547 Units)
MLB - (Overall Picks) - 65-41 (+2679 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - Aug 4, 2009 8:10 PM EDT

Play on Seattle w/ Rowland-Smith
Play Selected Money Line: -114

Rating: 2 Units

SEATTLE is 13-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. KANSAS CITY is 18-37 (-18.5 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games this season. KANSAS CITY is 9-22 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 17-12 (+747 Units)
MLB - (Overall) - 67-42 (+2683 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - Aug 5, 2009 7:10 PM EDT

Play on Chicago w/ Harden
Play Selected Money Line: -168

Rating: 2 Units

CHICAGO CUBS are 9-0 (+9.1 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 3-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season. CINCINNATI is 5-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 18-12 (+947 Units)
MLB - (Overall) - 69-45 (+2146 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - Aug 6, 2009 8:10 PM EDT
Play on Seattle w/ Vargas
Play Selected Money Line: 101

Rating: 2 Units

Playing against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) who is a poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) -AL, playing on Thursday is 49-17 since 1997. KANSAS CITY is 4-18 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. SEATTLE is 18-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games after batting .315 or better over a 5 game span over the last 3 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 18-13 (+611 Units)
MLB - (Overall) - 70-40 (+1873 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - Aug 8, 2009 8:10 PM EDT

Play on Colorado w/ Marquis
Play Selected Money Line: -144

Rating: 2 Units

DEMPSTER is 1-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season. MARQUIS is 7-1 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. MARQUIS is 17-4 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 18-14 (+411 Units)
MLB - (Overall) - 71-43 (+1580 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

New York Mets vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - Aug 10, 2009 9:40 PM EDT

Play on Arizona w/ Davis
Play Selected Money Line: -152

Rating: 2 Units

NY METS are 40-55 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. PELFREY is 10-17 (-12.8 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Playing against road teams (NY METS) after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a losing team is 32-13 over the last 5 seasons

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 19-15 (+323 Units)
MLB - (Overall) - 73-44 (+1790 Units)
NFLX - (Overall) - 0-0-1