Michael Alexander's MLB Prediction Thread

[Michael Alexander]

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - Jul 20, 2009 7:05 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Pittsburgh w/ Ohlendorf
Play Selected Money Line: -112

Rating: 2 Units

PITTSBURGH is 24-12 (+10.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 7-20 (-15.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. PITTSBURGH is 14-6 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***



YTD Record

MLB - 8-6 (+73 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

LAA Angels vs Kansas City Royals - G2 (MLB) - Jul 21, 2009 8:10 PM EDT

Play Selected Money Line: -135

In Game 2 of today's double header the red hot LAA Angels will be sending Rookie Sean O'Sullivan to the hill. O"Sullivan is 2-0 with an impressive 3.80 ERA. Both of O'Sullivan's victories have been on the road, where he has an even better 2.08 ERA.

The Royals will counter with left hander, Bruce Chen, who comes in with an 0-4 mark and sky high 6.86 ERA. The leftie has lost all four of his starts this year and 11 straight decisions since his last win Oct. 2, 2005

If Chen doesn't last long, the Royals' bullpen has been horrible lately, going 0-3 with a 9.50 ERA over the past five games.

In addition the Angels have been effective versus left handed starters this season going 18-10 overall.

Take the Angels in this one (2 Units)



YTD Record

MLB - 9-6 (+273 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers (MLB) - Jul 22, 2009 7:05 PM EDT
Play Selected Money Line: -126


The Seattle Mariners look to bounce back after last night's loss to the Tigers with they send Felix Hernandex to the hill. Hernandez comes into this one with a 10-3 mark and very good 2.51 ERA. Hernandez has also been red hot lately going 6-0 with a 1.30 ERA in 10 starts since losing to the Los Angeles Angels on May 19. Hernandez, has also won four in a row over the Tigers to improve to 4-2 with a 3.22 lifetime ERA against them.

The Tigers will counter with Armando Galarraga who is 5-8 with a rather hight 5.09 ERA. Tonight will be his first start since the All-Star break.

Take the Mariners for 2 Units



YTD Record

MLB - 10-6 (+473 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Jul 23, 2009 12:35 PM EDT

Play Selected Money Line: -161

Rating: 2 Units

CLEVELAND is 5-17 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a game with a combined score of 15 runs or more this season. TORONTO is 43-22 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND is 10-18 (-11.2 Units) against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - 11-6 (+673 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) - Jul 24, 2009 7:05 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Philadelphia w/ Happ
Play Selected Money Line: -136

Rating: 2 Units

PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season. ST LOUIS is 5-12 (-9.9 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season. PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 (+13.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better over the last 2 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY ON PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - 11-7 (+351 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - Jul 25, 2009 7:10 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Texas w/ Holland
Play Selected Money Line: -104

Rating: 2 Units

KANSAS CITY is 4-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line vs. good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game this season. TEXAS is 21-8 (+16.5 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS is 40-28 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***



YTD Record

MLB (Free Picks) - 11-8 (+79 Units)
MLB (July record) -46-28 (+2706 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) - Jul 26, 2009 1:05 PM EDT

Play Selected Money Line: -106

Rating: 2 Units on Tampay Bay w/ Niemann

After a huge come from behind victory over the Blue Jays yesterday the Rays look complete the sweep of the series when they send right-hander Jeff Niemann to the hill. Neimann has been red hot having given up more then 3 runs once in his last 12 starts. In addition he is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season and 8-1 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

The Blue Jays must be wondering what they have to do to beat the Rays after blowing that 8-1 lead yesterday and it might not help their thinking today as they are only 11-22 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.


YTD Redord

MLB - (Free Picks) - 11-9 (-129 Units)
MLB - (July Record)- 48-31- (+2495 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Jul 27, 2009 8:05 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Houston w. Rodriguez
Play Selected Money Line: 140

Rating: 2 Units

RODRIGUEZ is 14-6 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. RODRIGUEZ is 20-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. ZAMBRANO is 7-13 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***



YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 11-10 (-341 Units)
MLB - (July Record) -50-32 (+2625 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins (MLB) - Jul 28, 2009 7:10 PM EDT

Play Title Play on Florida w/ Nolasco

Rating: 2 Units

ATLANTA is 1-14 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. NOLASCO is 13-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. FLORIDA is 19-10 (+12.0 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Pick) - 11-11 (-341 Units)
MLB - (July Record) - 50-32 (+2625 Units)

[Michael Alexander]

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - Jul 29, 2009 3:45 PM EDT

Play Title Play on San Francisco w/ CainPlay Selected Money Line: -146

Rating: 2 Units

DUKE is 1-15 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. CAIN is 10-1 (+8.8 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. SAN FRANCISCO is 12-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

*** DO NOT PLAY IF PITCHER LISTED IS DIFFERENT THAN ACTUAL ***


YTD Record

MLB - (Free Picks) - 12-11 (-141)
MLB - (July Record) - 52-34 (+2430)