College Football POWER SYSTEM

A vital aspect of PRO INFO SPORTS intelligent sports investing is the technical handicapping of each game, searching for meaningful historical trends. How teams have performed under certain conditions in the past, such as when home/away, a favorite/underdog, in a division/non-division game, etc., can portend future outcomes.

In addition to established, simple single-team and single-factor angles, PRO INFO SPORTS discovers and employs unique and complex league-wide sports handicapping systems for use in our arsenal. The most POWERful of these SYSTEMS that are 100% ATS over a significant number of games and/or seasons, become our exclusive POWER SYSTEMS and are unmatched in the industry.

Here we reveal an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM from our 2009 NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM e-CYCLOPEDIA that is also 1 of 50 POWER SYSTEMS in the 2009 NFL & NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM Workbook.

Play AGAINST a favorite off 3 underdog/pick ‘em SU wins vs. an opponent not off a SU win of less than 4 points.

Since 2002, these teams are now 0-14 ATS, failing to cover the pointspread by 17 points per game on average!

Teams certainly love the role of underdog, especially when they are playing well, winning games, and proving the “experts” wrong. It can be highly motivating for players to see the oddsmakers favoring an upcoming opponent. Since the line is a reflection of public sentiment, this means the talking heads on TV and sports radio are probably also giving the favorite the nod.

If a team can pull off several upsets in a row, public perception and thus the odds are likely to change in respect to that team. With more and more people wagering on the “hot” team, this squad can suddenly find itself in the unaccustomed role of favorite.

Now, the tables are turned. The “chip on the shoulder” attitude is gone. Instead of media slaps in the face, they are getting slaps on the back. A letdown is almost inevitable.

To make matters worse, their opponent is now the underdog that everyone is dumping on, which will serve to motivate them to be the ones to knock off the flavor of the month.

Through our extensive database research, we have determined when to abandon the team that has pulled off several upsets and when to go against them. Specifically, if a team is favored after winning at least 3 games in a row in which they were not favored, it’s time to fade them. As long as their underdog opponent is not off a hard-fought win of 3 points or less, these favorites have gone down in flames 14 straight times ATS since 2002 and have only managed to win 3 of the 14 games outright.

We pounced on this opportunity last year with Virginia. The Cavaliers were coming off underdog victories over Maryland, East Carolina, and North Carolina; they were then installed as a small home favorite against Miami, FL. The Hurricanes were off a 6-point win, so all the parameters were met. It was a thrilling game that went into OT, but Virginia simply ran out of gas. The Cavs had nothing left and lost not only that game, but the next three contests as well and missed out on a bowl as a result.