Free Picks - Thursday April 30th - Service Plays

[Canuck Kid]

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[Canuck Kid]

Florida Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Apr 30, 2009 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 102 Florida Marlins

Vernon Croy was 100% perfect last night going 2-0 so make sure you get on his top sports picks for Thursday that come complete with full in-depth reports so you can bet with confidence. Click Here to view now >>>

[Canuck Kid]

Florida Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Apr 30, 2009 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -110 Chicago Cubs

Ryan’s NBA 10* Titan; 17-6 ATS this season and Ryan swept the board in all sports going 3-0 with Atlanta crushing Miami, Carolina defeating NJ in game 7 and the Indians halting the Red Sox 11 game win streak. Ryan loves this play even more and it is reinforced by a proven system posting a 30-11 mark that plays on dogs and more. View it here now >>>

[Canuck Kid]

Arizona D-Backs vs. Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) - Apr 30, 2009 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -109 Milwaukee Brewers

Miller Park will be the site of tonight’s National League battle between the host Milwaukee Brewers and the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks. Arizona was hoping to duplicate last season’s performance during the month of April but they have come up short with a record of 8-12 W/L (-6.2). The D-Backs are averaging a mere 3.6 runs per game with a batting average of .228 and an OBP of .301. Milwaukee is 26-5 W/L (+17.6) in home games versus National League teams with an on base percentage .315 or worse and 17-2 W/L (+14.5) in home games versus National League teams scoring 3.8 or less runs per game on the season the last 3 seasons.

The Diamondbacks are even worse when they hit the highway posting a record of 1-2 (-1.0) averaging only 0.7 runs per game and a batting average of .126. Not only are the Diamondbacks struggling to score runs their bullpen ranks near the bottom in ERA with a 5.43 ERA on the year with four save opportunities and three of those blown. If Arizona has managed to get a lead their bullpen has not been able to hold the lead which in turn never allows this team to build any type of momentum. Tonight they will send Max Scherzer to the bump with his 0-2 record in three starts and ERA of 4.91 (1-9 W/L -9.7 units L2Y). The key for Milwaukee will be Scherzer who has averaged 4.9 innings per start and with any offense at all the Brewers should be able to get into the D-Backs bullpen early.

Arizona is 15-36 W/L on the road facing a team with a winning record, 4-11 W/L on the road versus right-handed starters, 2-7 W/L as a road underdog and 5-16 W/L on the road their last twenty-one games overall. The Brewers will send right-hander Jeff Suppan to the hill with his 1-2 record and an ERA of 7.32. Over his last three starts the Brewers have gone 2-1 which included wins at Houston 9 to 8 and at the New York Mets 4 to 2.

The Brewers have owned this series of late going 10-4 W/L (+5.9) during the last three seasons and 6-1 W/L (+4.7) at home when facing the Diamondbacks. Milwaukee is 36-16 W/L at home when facing a team with a losing record, 5-1 W/L their last six versus a right-handed starter, 5-1 W/L when installed as a favorite and 6-2 W/L their last eight when Suppan takes the bump as a favorite. Suppan (team record) is 37-16 W/L (+18.8) at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997 and (team record) 53-36 W/L (+16.3) at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. We also have a MLB System that is active for tonight’s game and it says to Play Against MLB (NL) road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bullpen that blows 38 percent or more of their save opportunities against an opponent with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 6.70 or higher on the year.

Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects the Brewers getting the win tonight by 1.76 runs. The Math Model also projects a Brewers win with an average score of 5.7 to 3.9. With all systems go we will back the host here and lay the short price with Suppan as the Brewers get the win.

Graded Selection: 2* Milwaukee Brewers 6 Arizona Diamondbacks 4

[Canuck Kid]

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - Apr 30, 2009 10:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: -143 Los Angeles Dodgers

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[Canuck Kid]

St Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - Apr 30, 2009 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1.5/137 St Louis Cardinals

#901 ST. LOUIS with Boggs (-122) over Washington at 7:05 PM EST

[Canuck Kid]

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Houston Rockets (NBA) - Apr 30, 2009 9:35 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 5/-104 Portland Trail Blazers

Don't Miss out on Craig's 5 Star NBA MVP Play!! Craig's ATS plays are 3-0 the last three days only losing in the NBA with one total in last three days!!!!!

View his picks on the Craig Trapp Homepage here @ Capperspicks.com >>>

(903) FLORIDA MARLINS
(904) CHICAGO CUBS
Take "(903) FLORIDA MARLINS"

Florida broke of its skid with a big win as a dog at NY. This team has plenty of talent and is still in first place. Starter Chris Volstad is outstanding, at 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA, fanning 22 in 23 innings. The Cubs are a .500 team at home and have battled injuries. They've had trouble defensively, as well, and the Marlins can attack opponents with speed. Chicago lefty Sean Marshall is 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA against the Marlins, and is winless this season overall with a 4.50 ERA. The wrong team is favored. Play the Marlins.

(901) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
(902) WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Take "(901) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS"

Daniel Cabrera continues to have all kinds of trouble for the Nationals. The big righty has now strung together nine straight non-quality starts going back to last season, and he's up against a tough Cardinals lineup tonight. Mitchell Boggs is certainly no great shakes, but he'll at least throw strikes, an apparent foreign concept for Cabrera. That 12:7 BB:K ratio for Cabrera is a killer, and he's fade material at any reasonable price right now. I'll back the Cardinals to win tonight.

Chicago -3

LA Dodgers -144
Toronto +120
Boston -110
LA Angels +200