John Ryan
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors (NBA) - Mar 24, 2008 10:35 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -1/-110 Los Angeles Lakers
Pick Title: Lakers win
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Lakers – AiS shows a 70% probability that the Lakers will win this game by 3 or more points. Lakers off a disappointing loss and are just percentage points behind Conference leader New Orleans. Golden State in the 8th spot right now, but just 1.5 games ahead of Denver. There are a lot game dependent projections supporting the Lakers. Lakers have an 88% probability that they will score 105 or more points and also shoot a minimum of 48% from the field. Note that the Lakers are 10-2 ATS when they make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game this season. Golden State is just 11-30 ATS when they allow 105 or more points in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 53-21 ATS since 2002 for 71%.
Play on favorites that are playing with double revenge having 2 straight losses versus opponent and in a game involving two good teams sporting win percentages of 60% to 75% for the season.
Take the Lakers
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