Matt Fargo
Phoenix Suns vs. Seattle Supersonics (NBA) - Mar 19, 2008 10:05 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 10.5/-104 Seattle Supersonics

Seattle was absolutely embarrassed in its last game at Denver as the Nuggets ran up the score in the 52-point loss. Denver put up 107 shots so while simply a good shooting night is the excuse it is giving, the Nuggets clearly rubbed it in. The Sonics wish it was Denver visiting tonight but the Suns will have to do to try and recover from that defeat. Coming off a loss like that is going to motivate any team and on the flip side, the Suns might be coming in a little overconfident after seeing that Denver explosion.

This is not a good spot for the Suns anyway. Phoenix is coming off a win last night at Portland and that game was extremely physical. It was the biggest home loss for the Blazers this season, and Phoenix led by as many as 18 points. After this game, the Suns have games against Houston, Detroit and Boston so getting out of here with just a win is what they are looking for. Overlooking this Sonics team is a danger as well and even though the Suns are playing extremely well, this is the NBA we are talking about.

Phoenix has owned this series as it has won the first three meetings this year but by no means was any of those victories blowouts. Seattle covered all three of those games as the losses came by just seven, eight and four points. Most encouraging is the reports out of Seattle. The Sonics had one of their best practices of the season on Tuesday and that is exactly what you need to hear coming from a young team that cannot get caught up in that Denver loss. Seattle is a respectable 5-6 in its last 11 home games

Seattle falls into a very solid contrarian situation. Play on home underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off three or more consecutive losses, a team that has won fewer than 25 percent of its games going up against a team with a winning record. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1996. Seattle has covered seven of the last eight in this series while the Suns are a miserable 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11 points or more.

Play Seattle Supersonics 1 Unit

Matt Fargo rebounded last night as expected as the Pistons pulled away early and never looked back against Denver in the NBA Game of the Week! Tonight the Western Conference Game of the Week is backed by a 40-9 ATS (81.6%) Power Situation! GOW plays are now 10-4 ATS (71.4%) in the last 14 including 6-1 ATS (85.7%) in March! We keep it rolling tonight!

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