NFL | Nov 09
Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots
Black Widow

Black Widow Free Pick for Sunday NFL: 1* on New England Patriots -3.5

The New England Patriots should be at least a 7-point home favorite over the Buffalo Bills last week. The lines makers must have completely ignored how poorly the Buffalo Bills have played on the road this season, most notably a 17-41 loss at Arizona and a 16-25 loss at Miami. Then they lost at home to the New York Jets last week 17-26 just to make matters worse.

We never bought into this team when they got off to a fast start his year, because they really weren’t as good as their 3-0 record seemed. New England has taken care of business at home for the most part this season, and they played the Colts right down to the wire last week. The Patriots own a recent 41-7 home win over the Denver Broncos. This is a team that knows how to respond following a loss. The Patriots have not lost back-to-back games yet this season. New England is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992. The Patriots will win this game by a touchdown and grab hold of the AFC East division. Buffalo will no longer be overrated after this game because the lines makers will finally see that this really isn’t a playoff-caliber team.

Take the Patriots and lay the points.