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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Free Pick


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Old 10-25-2008, 09:08 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Default Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans Free Pick

Info Plays Sunday, October 26th Free Play:
3* on Cincinnati Bengals +9
Reasons why Cincinnati covers the spread Sunday:


1.) With just 2 wins on the season, the Houston Texans should not be anywhere near a double-digit favorite Sunday. The Cincinnati Bengals have played a brutal schedule to start the season and they have yet to win a game because of it. The loss of QB Carson Palmer hurts, but Ryan Fitzpatrick is gaining valuable learning experience as each week passes by. He’ll have much greater success this week against a Houston defense that is giving up a horrendous 29.8 PPG. Even the lowly Detroit Lions posted 21 points on Houston last week to cover the spread.

2.) Cincinnati has played only 1 team with a losing record this season. That was the Cleveland Browns in the first game the Bengals played without Carson Palmer. Cincinnati’s tough schedule has included road games at the Cowboys, Jets, Giants and Ravens. Their home games were against the Steelers (5-1) and the Titans (6-0). The Bengals finally catch a break this week against the 2-4 Texans. There’s no doubt they will keep this one close and will not get blown out of the water.

3.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - Home favorites (HOUSTON) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. This is a 43-19 ATS System hitting 69.4% over the last 10 seasons. We’ll also Play On - Underdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - terrible offensive team - scoring 14 or less points/game, after a loss by 28 or more points. This is a 45-19 ATS System hitting 70.3% since 1983. And finally, we’ll Play On - Road underdogs or pick (CINCINNATI) - after 7 or more consecutive losses, after the first month of the season. This is a 34-11 ATS System hitting 75.6% since 1983. Historically, it has been very profitable to back teams that are on a long losing streak because they are eventually going to break through while catching big spreads every week. The Bengals play the weakest opponent they have faced all season this Sunday.

Bet Cincinnati on the road.

Info Plays is 8-2 (80%) Run on All Picks L10 Selections! 5-1 (83%) Run on Larry's Football 10* Plays! Larry Cook has a HUGE WEEKEND of Football planned for Saturday through Monday!

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