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Thread: NFL Team Betting Odds To Go 16-0 in the 2008 NFL Regular Season

  1. #1
    Qbins Missile Crisis is offline
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    Default NFL Team Betting Odds To Go 16-0 in the 2008 NFL Regular Season

    NFL Football Futures Betting – Everyone’s “0” Must Go

    BetUS Sportsbook football betting fanatics sat back and watched in wonder as the New England Patriots went completely through the regular season undefeated. And they went up against several playoff-level teams along the way. But we don't want you to think this is the start of a trend; in "modern" NFL history (i.e., since the merger) only the Dolphins of 1972 had gone unbeaten during the regular NFL schedule before New England's incredible feat.



    Can another team do it this season? Let's glance at the numbers on that happening:

    BetUS NFL Football Futures Odds

    To Go 16-0 in the 2008 NFL Regular Season

    New England Patriots +1500
    Indianapolis Colts +1800
    Dallas Cowboys +1600
    San Diego Chargers +1600
    Jacksonville Jaguars +2000
    Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
    New York Giants +3000
    Minnesota Vikings +4000
    New Orleans Saints +4000
    Philadelphia Eagles +4000
    Seattle Seahawks +4000
    Arizona Cardinals +5000
    Buffalo Bills +5000
    Chicago Bears +5000
    Cleveland Browns +5000
    Green Bay Packers +5000
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5000
    Tennessee Titans +5000
    Carolina Panthers +7500
    Cincinnati Bengals +7500
    Denver Broncos +7500
    Houston Texans +7500
    Washington Redskins +7500
    New York Jets +10000
    Detroit Lions +15000
    Oakland Raiders +15000
    San Francisco 49ers +15000
    St Louis Rams +15000
    Kansas City Chiefs +25000
    Baltimore Ravens +25000
    Miami Dolphins +50000
    Atlanta Falcons +100000


    It would not be out of line to say that there is little value inherent in this prop. Yes, the Pats did it last year, proving that it can indeed be done in this age of free and frequent player movement and salary caps. But those are two of the factors that make it an anomaly.

    Most people would think there are only three teams I would give even the slightest chance to do it, and by no coincidence they are the top three teams on the list - New England, Indianapolis and Dallas.

    But the NFL's practice of situating the better teams with a "first-place schedule" the next year obviously works against them.

    When you look at the schedule for New England (+1500 in BetUS odds), there are two VERY dangerous games, and one relatively dangerous game, and they are all on the road:

    Oct. 12 @ San Diego
    Nov. 2 @ Indianapolis
    Dec. 7 @ Seattle


    These are certainly three big hurdles to get over, although we concede that the Pats beat the Chargers pretty handily last season and went into the Hoosier Dome and beat the Colts.

    And speaking of the Colts (+1800 in BetUS odds), they have some difficult games ahead of them. As we mentioned, they host the Patriots, but also they have:

    Sept. 14 @ Minnesota
    Oct. 19 @ Green Bay
    Nov. 9 @ Pittsburgh
    Nov. 23 @ San Diego
    Nov. 30 @ Cleveland


    In addition to this, Indianapolis has to negotiate its way through what is probably the toughest division in football, with Jacksonville and Tennessee, fellow playoff contestants from last year, and emerging Houston. There are two games with each of those teams. In fact, Indy's schedule is so tough that if they have some unexpected misfortune (e.g., a major injury or two) or just slip up enough, they could be out of the playoff picture completely. So obviously they're not a "value" candidate for this prop.

    As for Dallas (+1600 in BetUS odds), well, they can be a "big hit" or "big miss" proposition. I actually like the Giants to win the division, but if Dallas catches fire (in other words, if they are a lot better than I thought they were) they are the kind of team that can run through its schedule. Of course, there are some speed bumps. Here are a few of them:

    Sept. 7 @ Cleveland
    Sept. 21 @ Green Bay
    Dec. 7 @ Pittsburgh


    Plus, there are home games with Seattle and Tampa Bay. And we haven't even mentioned Dallas' divisional schedule, which will include two games each against the Giants, Eagles and Redskins - two of which went to the post-season last year. I don't see the Cowboys holding enough consistency throughout the entire season.

    The Giants (+3000 in BetUS odds) would perhaps be a candidate, seeing as they are the defending Super Bowl champs and have won ten straight games away from home. But their problem was winning at the Meadowlands, where they went 3-5 in the regular season. Aside from the customary NFC East slate, where they face Dallas, Washington and Philadelphia twice each, the Giants have:

    Oct. 5 vs. Seattle (home)
    Oct. 13 @ Cleveland
    Oct. 26 @ Pittsburgh
    Dec. 21 vs. Carolina (home)
    Dec. 28 @ Minnesota


    Admittedly, these are all winnable games, although it would be hard to imagine New York steamrolling these games AND sweeping their division slate. Still, if this team can build some strength AT HOME, they might be more of a value pick (if you were intent on playing this prop) than the Colts or Cowboys.

    Seattle (+4000 in BetUS odds) is worth mentioning, I guess, if for no other reason than that they are potentially in the easiest division to sweep; that is, if the other teams (Arizona, San Francisco, St. Louis) do not make a big leap into contention. And the out-of-division schedule is challenging, but maybe not so overwhelming:

    Oct. 5 @ Giants
    Oct. 12 vs. Green Bay (home)
    Oct. 19 @ Tampa Bay
    Nov. 23 vs. Washington (home)
    Nov. 27 @ Dallas
    Dec. 7 vs. New England (home)


    Now, this is probably too much for the Seahawks to handle, especially the Thanksgiving game in Dallas. But they at least get the Patriots and Packers at home, where they also beat Washington by three TD's in the playoffs. The Giants need to get their act together at their own stadium, and Tampa Bay is a team that has vulnerabilities. Just a thought.

    Now let's make the case for Miami, at 500/1. OK - you got a few hours?........

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  2. #2
    Sports Handicapper
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    Although there are plenty of bad teams in the NFL these days and plenty of "easy" wins on the schedules of the elite teams it is exceptionally unlikely this will happen again anytime soon. When the odds on favorite is +1500 that should tell you all you need to know!

  3. #3
    Beat_U_Down
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    Oh you know Dallas is going to hit the Green Bay Packers with all the might they can muster. There is a lot of tension built up between this team over the past few decades in my opinion and it comes to head every year on thier first faceoff. In fact the game will set the trend for each of the teams for the rest of the year in my opinion.

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