NBA | Apr 03
Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics Total
FREE PICK: Over 186

Widow’s NBA Free Pick for Friday:

Boston has been forced to play small ball with the loss of Kevin Garnett. It hasn’t hurt their scoring, but it has really hurt their defense. The Celtics are giving up 8 more points per game when Garnett is not on the floor. The last meeting between the Hawks and Celtics played in Boston saw 205 combined points with a similar Total of 185.5. These teams just played on March 27th a week ago with 192 combined points in a 99-93 Boston win. We see no way the final score of this game stays under 190 simply because Boston has to play a different style of basketball without KG. On the season, the Celtics average 104.2 points per game at home. As a result, the Celtics are 23-14 OVER (+7.6 Units) in home games this season. The OVER is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the OVER 186 points here.

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