NBA | Jan 28
Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics
Widow’s NBA Free Pick for Wednesday: 1* on Kings/Celtics O 204.5


The Sacramento Kings are scoring a ton of points lately, but they are giving up even more. Sacramento has scored 102 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games overall. But the Kings have given up 106 or more points in 9 of those 10 games. The Kings are scoring 109.8 points per game over their last 10 contests, while giving up 117.9 points per game over their last 10. Now that’s some terrible defense, and the Celtics should be able to put up at least 120 points tonight. Boston did just break out to score 124 points in their last game against Dallas, and they’ve had 2 days’ rest in between games so they’ll be fresh and looking to get up and down the court to exploit the Kings’ defense.

Sacramento is 36-20 OVER (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) in road games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game since 1996.

Take the OVER 204.5 points here.

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