Brewers vs. Cubs MLB Preview - Matt Fargo

[Qbins Missile Crisis]

Matt Fargo
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (MLB) - Apr 29, 2008 8:05 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 110 Chicago Cubs

This is a great price for the Cubs at home where they are 10-4 on the season. This number is based on nothing more than the name of Ben Sheets and I will go into that later. Chicago has dumped three of its last four games but those came on the road and the lead in the National League Central has dwindled to just a game making this series a pretty big one. The Brewers won the first series in 2008 to open the season and even though it is early, these games can go a long way.

Milwaukee hits the road following a disappointing 3-4 homestand and it also comes into this game with a 1-3 record over its last four games. The Brewers have been above average on the road with a 7-5 record but it is pretty soft considering both hitting and pitching are not flourishing away from home. Milwaukee is hitting just .220 on the road this season and while the bullpen has been decent, the starters have put up a 4.57 ERA in road contests.

Back to Sheets. He is definitely a big time pitcher and one that often deserves being a road chalk but not in this case. He is becoming one of the most brittle pitchers in baseball and the injury bug has hit him already this season. He missed his last start after leaving early in his previous outing due to tightness in his right triceps. He leads the league in WHIP and is allowing only a .146 BAA but coming off an injury, you don’t know what to expect. In 23 starts against the Cubs, Sheets is just 9-7.

Jason Marquis takes the hill for the Cubs and he is putting together another fine season. He tossed his third straight quality outing in his last start in Colorado and it was the bullpen that blew a chance for the Cubs to remain undefeated in his four starts. Each start has been better than the previous and his ERA has dipped after every outing on the season. He posted a 1.46 ERA in two starts against Milwaukee last season with Chicago going 2-0 in those games.

Play Chicago Cubs 1.5 Units

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