Giants vs. D-Backs MLB Free Pick + Preview (Monday)

[Qbins Missile Crisis]

Matt Fargo
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - Apr 21, 2008 9:40 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 182 San Francisco Giants

San Francisco took the final two games in St. Louis to close out that series and those wins are big heading home to face the team with the best record in baseball. The Giants are now 7-5 over their last 12 games after starting the season a disappointing 1-6. This team was expected to finish in the basement in the National League West and that could very well still come true but we need to back them when they are playing well and when the lines are not adjusted to reflect that.

As mentioned, the Diamondbacks possess the best record in baseball but it had its four-game winning streak snapped yesterday and that is a sign to play against them now. They are doing the small things to win games and both pitching and hitting are getting the jobs done. There obviously is not a whole lot of bad to say about this team but Arizona has lost value fast and it has gotten to the point of being overvalued and that is where we take advantage.

Brandon Webb is not on the mound tonight but it sure looks like a Brandon Webb price. Micah Owings has started the season hot and that is why this price is what it is. He has tossed three straight quality outings to begin the year and that is where I strike. He is not a top tiered pitcher in this league and after three consecutive quality starts, it is the play against sign. Owings had a very rough spring with his command and while spring does not mean much, it does show that problems have been there.

Kevin Correia counters for the Giants and while he is coming off a rough outing against Arizona in his last start, he says that he felt he was much better than the results. He has gone at least six innings in each of his three starts and opponents are hitting just .225 against him while his WHIP is at a solid 1.22. I take both of those at a higher rank than ERA as he simply has not allowed a lot of baserunners. Correia has never won against Arizona but he has a solid 3.95 ERA in 11 games including three starts.

Play San Francisco Giants 1.5 Units

Matt Fargo went 1-2 in baseball on Sunday but his Top Play came through yet again as the White Sox pounded the Rays! We extend the run today with the National League Game of the Week that you simply cannot miss! Top Plays are on a solid 9-3 run (75%) and MLB has profited +18.9 Units since April 6th! The Top Plays have been lights out so do not hesitate and get on it now!

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