John Ryan
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - Apr 16, 2008 3:45 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 154 San Francisco Giants Pick Title: Giants
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on San Francisco. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 65-37 ATS and has made 34 units since 2002. Play against NL road teams with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season and is an excellent fielding team that is averaging <=0.5 errors/game on the season. Zito may not be what he used to be, but at least he is heading in that direction and he has also pitched well agains Arizona despite minimal run support. Note that he is 2-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.394. SF is also in two powerful roles for this game noting they are 11-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons; 11-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games versus an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 3 seasons. The current members of the Giants have batted 270 against Webb spanning 211 Abs. On the scouting report, Webb has a strong tendency to throw the FB 88% of the time when even or behind in the count and there are numerous FB loving hitters in the Giants lineup. Winn, for example, is batting 429 against Webb in his career.
Zito pitches well and the Giants give Webb his first loss of the season. Click here to view all of John Ryan's premium picks.
