Platinum MLB

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
Yesterday: 1-4-1, -16.8 units

Currently: -59.40 units
Units remaining: 259.40


27-18-2, +60.60 units in first 10 days of July

Totals run of 20-12-3 last 35


7/11/09

$300 Atlanta/Colorado UNDER 9.5
Jair Jurrjens has looked great of late. Marquis has looked even better recently. This sets up for a low scoring game following Saturday's 4-1 final. All signs point to another under here, as both bullpens have looked sound, as has the starting pitching for the most part on both sides. Both teams are hot and have split the first two games.
Jurrjens actually shows the better ERA and shows a better road ERA, compared to his home number. The Braves have won his last 3 outings against Colorado. Braves outscored Colorado 26-10 in his four outings against them, and 10-5 in Colorado. Jurrjens allowed just 1 ER over 7 innings in his start at home vs. Rockies this season and has had 2 starts in Colorado, both last year. One was a 4 ER performance over 7 innings, and the other was 0 ER's in 7 and 2/3 innings. Both went under the total.
Jason Marquis takes the home hill for Colorado, and he has dominated Atlanta in his last couple. He allowed just 1 ER in this year's meeting going 8 innings. He also only allowed 2 ER's as a Cub last season vs. this ball club. His former team lost both games he has pitched against them over the last 2 seasons. Colorado has won 8 of his last 10 starts, and he has been pretty dominant at home. In his last outing he shut down the Nats over 8 innings of scoreless baseball. Marquis has only allowed 4 ER's in his last 4 at home with the opposition averaging less than 2 runs per contest. Marquis has not allowed a run over his last 2 full games pitched (17 innings). Look for him to continue his dominance in addition to Jurrjens pitching well also. This one should see at most 5 runs scored.

$300 Oakland/Tampa Bay OVER (Will go by closing line at majority of books)

$200 each:
Texas/Seattle OVER 8
Cincy/NY Mets OVER 7.5
NY Mets -130

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
Yesterday: 3-2, +3.6 units

Currently: -55.80 units
Units remaining: 255.80


30-20-2, +64.20 units in first 11 days of July

Totals run of 21-14-3 last 38


7/12/09

$300 LA Angels +130
$200 Boston -1.5 (-135)
$200 Washington/Houston OVER 9
$200 Chisox/Minny OVER 8

$200 STL/Cubs OVER (Based on opening line, unavailable)

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

7/12/09: 4-1, +7.7 units

Currently: -48.10 units
Units remaining: 248.10

-Winning 9 of 12 days of July, 34-21-2, +71.90 units in that span
-Totals run of 23-15-3 last 41

7/16/09 (DAY 41)

$200 Chicago/Washington UNDER 9
The Cubs visit the Nationals to get things started up again on the diamond. The game is slated to go off at 7:05 EST. Rich Harden will pitch for Chicago, while John Lannan will take the home hill. The top total of the day would be a play on the under in this game. Rich Harden has had his struggles this season. Harden is just 5-6 (5.47) overall, but shows excellent road numbers (3-1, 2.59). He has gone under in his last 2 on the road, and in his last start vs. Washington. He allowed 1 ER in that contest, pitching 7 strong innings, striking out 11 and walking none. He only allowed 2 hits in a 6-1 win. John Lannan and the Nats have won 5 of his last 7 starts. Lannan has also hit the under in 8 of his last 10 starts. He also pitched a shutout last year at home vs. Chicago, over 7 innings. Nats won 2-0, with Lannan allowing just 4 hits, walking 4 and striking out 3. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings, and 6-0, L6 in Washington. Look for a 3-2 final or 5 runs at most in this one, easily staying under the total.

$500 Oakland -120
Oakland A’s and Dallas Braden host the first place LA Angels. The Angels will send Ervin Santana to the mound after coming off the sweep over the NY Yankees before the All-Star break. This game is slated to go off at 10:05 EST.
Early action sees money coming in on the Angels at almost 2-1, and rightfully so. The Angels are one of the AL’s best, and lead their division. The A’s are in last place and still looking to find answers. Maybe they will against one of the league’s worst road starters. The Angels have won 6 of Santana’s last 7 vs. Oakland and 8 of his last 10 against them. We are in a new season though, and he has not yet faced Oakland this year. Santana has not been the same dominant pitcher he once was. He is 1-5 on the season with a 7.81 ERA. His last 3 starts show a 0-3 mark with a 9.88 ERA. Hopefully the break was kind to him, but the A’s won’t be. Santana and the Angels have only won in 2 of his last 7 starts. Dallas Braden is the complete opposite of Santana. Braden shows a 3.12 ERA for the year, a 2.84 at home and a 2.45 in his last 3 starts. The A's have won in Braden's last 2. He has averaged 2 ER’s allowed over his last 4 vs.. LA, and the Angels have averaged just 3 runs per game over those 4 starts. Santana has only had 1 quality start in his last 6.

$500 Florida -115
Chris Volstad (6-8, 4.44) will face Jamie Moyer (8-6, 5.99) in this one. Moyer and the Phillies have won against the line 12 of the last 14 meetings with Florida, which has been impressive. They also have won 9 of their last 10 games. So why am I leaning with the marlins as slight fave in this one? The reasoning is not due to starting pitching as both starters have had success in this spot. It is the relief. Either of these teams can win this one late. Philly scored 7 runs in the 9th inning trailing 3-0 to beat the Marlins earlier this year. Florida has also done a number on the Phillies relievers in the past as well, especially with a 4 run bottom of the 9th walk-off Grand Slam last year in a 6-2 win at home after Philly took a one run lead in the top of the inning. I think the Marlins can get to Lidge and the Philly relief, as they have had a rough go of late. Look for a close contest, with the Marlins finishing this one out with the win.

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-2, -9.75 units

Currently: -57.85 units
Units remaining: 257.85

-Winning 9 of 13 days of plays in July(35-23-2,+62.15 units)
-Totals run of 24-15-3 last 42


7/17/09

$500 San Fran -145
SF sends Lincecum (10-2, 2.33) to face Maholm (6-4, 4.60). Giants face a lowly Pirates team who have lost 8 of 10. SF has won 7 of their last 10 ball games. Lincecum has gone 3-0 in his last 3 starts, and he is 5-1 on the road this season. The Giants have also won in his last 4 starts, and in 7 of his last 10 outings. Maholm is having a decent year, but with the lack of support is not a sure bet. The bullpen has been weak all season. Pitt has only won just 10 of his 18 starts all season. Of those, the Pirates are just 3-4 at home in Maholm starts, even though he holds a 2.96 ERA at home. That says little about the talent out of the pen. Pirates slump continues as I dont see it changing anytime soon.

$500 NY Yankees -230
Burnett looks to continue his dominant pitching against the first place Tigers at home. Yanks are 21-9 vs. Detroit over the last 30 meetings. Hard to believe, after all Detroit is a contender and has been for a few years. Burnett has been solid in 09, with stats showing 8-4, 3.74. The Yanks are 11-6 in his starts this year. His last 3 show a 1.77 ERA and a 3-0 mark. French and the Tigers would need something good up their sleeves to pull this out. French has only made 2 starts. His resume shows 11 innings, 3 ERs. He failed to go deep in Minnesota, where the Twins wound up finishing with 9. French will start strong but struggle the 2nd and 3rd time through the line-up. Look for the Yanks to control this one and win by several.

$200 Chicago Cubs -130
$200 Cubs/Nats UNDER 9
The Nationals are the worst in the majors, and action must be taken in this game. Zambrano has owned this team in his last 2 starts against them allowing just 1 ER over 13.66 INN. The Nats will continue to struggle in this meeting as they did last night. Zambrano and the Cubbies have won in 6 of his last 8 outings vs. Wash. Stammen replaces Olsen for the Nats who have struggled closing games out all year. Stammen has allowed opponents to put up 5 runs on him per outing over his last 4 at home. Game 1 was a 3-1 game going into the 9th inning. Final 6-2. Nats need help and they wont get it in this game. The Nats have only won in 2 of Stammens last 7 outings. Big Z will dominate this line-up and keep this one under the total single-handedly. Look for a 5-1 final.

$200 Minnesota/Texas UNDER 11
This one will easily stay under the total of 11 runs. Texas has played 20 more under games on the season. This one looks for an easy under on paper. Perkins has shown unders in 4 of his last 5 on road. He allowed 2 ERs in his last 2 on road, over 14 innings. Perkins has a knack for pitching Texas well, as last year he allowed 2 ERs in 2 starts against them, both at home. Texas scored 4 runs in total in those games, and the last start against them was a 6-0 final, an under. Padilla has been solid at home. Opponents have only scored 13 runs in his last 4 at home. In 2008, Padilla pitched in 3 wins vs. Twins, and showed 2 shutouts over 16 innings, one being a complete game. Padilla has allowed 8 ERs in his last 5 vs. Minny. Texas is 4-1 in those gms. Like a 5-3 game at best.

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 4-1, +3.75 units

Currently: -54.1 units
Units remaining: 254.1

-Winning 10 of 14 days of plays in July(39-24-2,+65.90 units)
-Totals run of 26-15-3 last 44


7/18/09

All faves to win/dogs risking $200 a piece:

LAA/Oakland UNDER 8.5
Weaver's allowed just 9 runs in his last 5 mtgs with Oakland. Mazzaro is a quiet 8-0 to the under this year. A's also 7 unders in their last 10 ball games.

Bal/Chisox OVER 9
Both starters + bullpens will combine for many allowed in this one. Sox have gone over in 6 of 7. Play regardless of starter.

Philly +110
Philly is still hot. Winning 11 of their last 12. I love how Blanton has pitched of late, better than can be said of what Johnson and the Florida pen's numbers are vs. Philly at home over his last couple starts here.

Colorado/SD OVER 7.5
Hammel has been a road workhorse. He struggled against SD at home though lasting 7 innings in 2 starts. SD put up 14 in those games. Correia and the Pads allowed 9 runs last meeting with SD. Look for this one to reach at least 10 if the pitchers perform similar.

LA Dodgers -1.5(+125)
Astros are 1-3 in Hampton's last 4 outings. LA is 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 outings. They should cruise today after losing the first 2 at home. Kershaw has a 0.53 in his last 3. LA 6-3.

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 1-3, -4.1 units

Currently: -58.2 units
Units remaining: 258.2

-Winning 10 of 15 days of plays in July(40-27-2,+61.80 units)
-Totals run of 26-18-3 last 47


7/19/09

$500 Minnesota -120
$300 Washington +110
$300 Florida +110
$300 KC +140
$300 NYY -130
$300 Pittsburgh +105
$200 Bos/Tor OVER 7.5
$200 Philly/Florida Under 9

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 2-6, -15.2 units

Currently: -73.4 units
Units remaining: 273.4

-Winning 10 of 16 days of plays in July(42-33-2,+46.60 units)
-Totals run of 27-19-3 last 47


7/20/09

Less than 7 weeks left.

Ranked by confidence but all count toward thread record.

$500 Angels -120
$500 Mets +120
$500 Baltimore +185
$500 Florida -105
$500 Chisox -105
$200 Colorado -145

$200 Balt/NYY Under 10.5
$100 Bos/Tex Over 9.5
$100 LAA/KC Under 10

Going to finish out July and August very strong!

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 5-2, +13.9 units

Currently: -59.5 units
Units remaining: 259.5

-Winning 11 of 17 days of plays in July(47-35-2,+60.5 units)
-Totals run of 28-20-3 last 51


7/21/09

$500 LA Angels -125 (GAME 1)
$500 Detroit -150
$200 Florida -105

$100 LAA/KC UNDER 10 (GAME 1)
$100 SF/Atl UNDER 8.5
$100 Cincy/LAD UNDER 8.5

$300 CLOSING LINE and only IF NECCESARY: LAA/KC UNDER GAME 2(ONLY IF GM 1 is an over or a push)

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The Standard: 200 units

Yesterday: 3-4, +5.4 units

Currently: -54.1 units
Units remaining: 254.1

-Winning 12 of 18 days of plays in July(50-39-2,+65.9 units)
-Totals run of 28-24-3 last 55


7/22/09

The goal is to at least get to under 200 units needed by the end of this month. It has been a complete turnaround July compared to June. Let's keep this streak going. I have a split card, 4 early and 4 late.
I'll be back in here later today by 5pm est to post the remaining 4.

$200 NY Yankees -1.5(-150)
$200 Balt/NYY OVER 10.5

$300 Philly +105
$300 San Diego +130

[ThePlatinumStandard]

The remaining 7/22 card:

$300 Texas +125
$300 Houston +105
$300 Kansas City +100
$200 Cin/LAD UNDER 8