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Old 09-27-2008, 10:50 AM
Qbins Missile Crisis's Avatar
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Default Alabama vs. Georgia Saturday Night Football Pick

NCAA-F | Sep 27
Alabama vs. Georgia
Tony George


Courtesy of Tony George Sports

Alabama +6.5 @ Georgia

I really have seen little from Georgia that impresses me yet, as hyped up as they were in the preseason polls. Even more confusing to me is all the hype over their QB Stafford, who is a good QB, but nothing like a Heisman candidate he was touted as. Looking at his numbers, if he was in the Big 12 conference, he would be the 8th rated QB on stats alone! Georgia is pulling out all the stops here, and wearing black jerseys for this game, and creating a great deal of buildup for this crucial SEC tilt. Bear in mind that under Head coach Nick Sabin, Alabama has not lost by more than 7 points under his leadership.

With both defense's quite good, I still lean towards the Tide defense here as the better run stoppers, and at days end the running game will create the most opportunities for the team that can establish it best. Alabama runs it for 5.9 yards per carry, which is impressive, and they are off the total destruction of Arkansas last week. Georgia had to travel to Tempe and they beat a so/so Arizona State team by 17, which once again was hyped by ESPN as a huge deal for Georgia. The Sun Devils had lost to UNLV the week before. The Bulldogs barely escaped South Carolina with a win, and that game included some miracles for them to walk away with a win. Alabama is far superior to South Carolina.

Alabama's Glenn Coffe at RB is a great pounder inside and has speed and QB Wilson is solid, but not quite as good as Stafford for Georgia. I do however respect and admire RB Moreno for the Dogs with 455 yards so far, but this will be his toughest test to date, facing a very good stop unit. I expect Georgia to pass it more than run it here, and if the Tide can rush the passer with success, it plays well into their plans of being a blue collar workhorse type unit in this game. In a low scoring SEC bragging rights battle, with a Tide team used to playing tight games with the better defense, this is a 3 or 4 point game one way or the other. An outright Alabama win would not shock me in this game folks, as this is the win that Nick Sabin has been waiting for since his arrival at Alabama, the one signature win he needs to raise the bar for the Tide faithful.

Alabama 17 Georgia 14 .... take the points for a Free selection

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