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College Basketball’s National Championship Betting At Sportsbook.com


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Old 04-07-2008, 05:31 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Default College Basketball’s National Championship Betting At Sportsbook.com

NCAAB: Bettors cause dramatic swing

College Basketball’s National Champion is crowned tonight in San Antonio and according to 81% of Sportsbook.com bettors, Memphis shouldn’t have a problem covering the 2 points they are giving Kansas.

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The first ever Final Four with four designated number one seeds, did not produce the kind of excitement many expected. Instead, Memphis and Kansas dismantled opponents that were either too slow or not quick enough to play with them.

If guard play is one of the most important elements of the postseason tournament basketball, than Memphis is flushed with a pair nobody has in college basketball.

A rose by any color is still a rose and coach John Calipari might have one the prettiest around in freshman Derrick Rose. He and sharp shooter Chris Douglas-Roberts have dominated three sets of guards that were probably in the Top 15 in the country.

Michigan State, Texas and UCLA all lacked the size and more importantly, the skill to stop the Tigers twosome. With Rose in the open court and CDR drilling long range jumpers or flushing dunks on cuts to the basket, it takes more than just talk about playing defense.

Memphis is averaging 83.8 points per game in the NCAA’s and is 7-1 ATS after scoring 75 points or more three straight games this season.

Memphis defense is so long with its guards and Antonio Anderson, Shawn Taggart, Robert Dozier and Joey Dorsey collectively are underrated in holding teams to 38.7 percent shooting on the season.

They held the Longhorns and UCLA to under 38% shooting. These Tigers have stymied offensive juggernauts like Kansas; with a 27-11 ATS record versus offensive teams scoring 77 or more points a game after 15 or games.

Kansas can counter all this power and speed. The Jayhawks backcourt has blazers like Mario Chalmers, Brandon Rush and powerful Sherron Collins coming off the bench. Chalmers and Rush have inside-outside capabilities and Collins may get to the rim better than anyone in the country under 6’0. The Jayhawks are 13-6 ATS after seven or more consecutive wins this season.

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Coach Bill Self has more depth and frontcourt options, as the Tar Heels learned. 6’9” forward Darrell Arthur and 6’8” Darnell Jackson are excellent, hard working, athletic scoring options, with very good defensive mind-set.

When they need a rest, Russian Sasha Kaun is an able huge body off the bench. The future of Kansas hoops, 7’0” freshmen Cole Aldrich, gave a marvelous performance against North Carolina.

The Jayhawks, underdogs after opening as the favorite, are 7-1 ATS as underdogs this season. Even if Kansas can limit offenses with 37.9% field goal defense, the Tigers are 16-5 ATS versus very good defensive teams – that hold opponents to 39% or less after 15 or games contests.

The total has risen to 146, which in theory benefits Kansas who is 23-10 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. The Jayhawks should be able to rebound with Memphis and is 8-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by four or more per game this season.

Memphis has not faced a team as offensively diverse, who passes the ball as well as Kansas, yet they have still been successful against teams that average 16 or more assists a game with 25-8 ATS record. Additionally title game favorites are 14-3 and 12-5 ATS.

Everything points to special championship contest, with the telecast starting at 8 pm ET on CBS.

StatFox Power Line – Kansas by 2
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