Florida St. vs. Duke Free Pick

Florida St vs. Duke
Play: FSU +5.5

Florida State is much better than anyone has given them credit for. Not many teams are doubting them now they have made a run to the conference tourney final. Duke has fixed there point guard issues mid season and have put a run of great games together to finish the season very strong. Odds makers have make Duke the favorite at -6. Lets look at recent trends and ATS records and look for an edge in this matchup.

ATS Records:
FSU: 18-8 ATS overall 11-4 away ATS
Duke: 15-15 ATS overall 8-7 away ATS

Recent Betting Trends:
Seminoles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
Seminoles are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Blue Devils are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games as a favorite.
Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Most one sided trends ATS records Craig has seen all season!! Have to go with FSU and in fact think they can win not just cover but will gladly take the six points. Tony Douglas is the best player in the league and FSU is so long and athletic they will give the smaller Duke fits all game. Duke has overachieved this season with no big man to speak of but today it comes back to hurt them.

SCORE FSU 76 - DUKE 72

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[EaglesLinc]

This should be a great game as FSU has been impressive these past few games. I think this will be closer than 6 points with Duke coming out on top 69-66.