Florida State vs. North Carolina Free Pick

[Shame About Ray]

Craig Trapp
Florida State vs. North Carolina (NCAAB) - Mar 14, 2009 1:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 9/-113 Florida State

Today Florida State try's to derail the favorite North Carolina. UNC is a -9.5 point favorite and hopes to get Ty Lawson back after he missed yesterday with an injured big toe. North Carolina held on to win yesterday with a tight win 79-76 over Virginia tech while FSU held on to a win over Georgia Tech 64-62. Earlier this year these two played with North Carolina going to FSU and winning 80-77.

Betting Trends ATS

Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Seminoles are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.
Seminoles are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

ATS Records

FSU 17-7 ATS overall record 10-3 away record ATS
UNC 11-18 ATS overall record 7-8 away record ATS

Not sure if Lawson is going to play but either way like FSU and the +9.5 points here ATS. Douglas has been unbelievable for FSU all season and think he will keep them in the game. If Lawson does not play think UNC will lose straight up but looks like a game time decision today. UNC has poor all year ATS whereas FSU has been great ATS all year. Don't look for the trends to change today.

SCORE UNC 80 - FSU 78

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[EaglesLinc]

Can FSU continue the upset trend that has been the big story in many of these conference tournaments? I think they have a good chance in this one and will cover the spread, but North Carolina will still hold on to win the game.

[Canuck Kid]

Team records:
Florida State: 24-8 SU, 17-8-1 ATS
North Carolina: 28-3 SU, 12-18 ATS

Trends:
Florida State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
North Carolina is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games