July 23rd, 2009 Free Pick
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Cappers Picks by
clicking here. Take Tigers @ -115 (2DIMES) (1-5SCALE)
I like this play a lot it will be a 2 Dime Free Play rather than a 1 Dime. Today we have our Hot pitcher in Jarrod Washburn going for the Mariners, but that does not bother me at all. A quick run down of Washburn 3-0 0.66WHIP and 0.79ERA in his last three starts. Pretty impressive and Washburn has been quite consistent this year for the most part, but on the road he has had these bumps where he has allowed 4 or 6 ER in 4 of his last 7 road starts. I think he has one of those games against a lineup that hits lefties extremely well and who Washburn has struggled against in the past. His last 2 road starts here he has 9IP and 15ER. So enough on Washburn now onto his opponent Luke French.
French has 3 starts, which really is not much to go on, but I'm looking at the quality of opponents he has faced which are the Twins in their dome, and the Yankees @ hitter friendly Yankee Stadium. French has been nothing, but solid and in his only home start he pitched his best game going 6.1 IP giving up 6H and 1ER. Seatle struggles to get runs off LHP 4.43 R/9 on the road which is nothing compared to the Tigers who are scoring 8.17 R/9 vs. LHP at home. The Tigers continue to hit lefties and with Magglio Ordonez who I think is ready to turn the corner they will go on a hot streak. Magglio who has struggled all year is just waiting for Carlos Guillen to be healthy and he's going to get hot. Magglio went 2-3 HR and 4RBI in game 1 of this series.
Tigers also have the edge when you look at the important trends here. The Mariners are 17-36 in their L53 games when Washburn is coming off a quality start. To me he's not one to be known to throw back to back quality starts. The Mariners are 1-7 in Washburn's L8 starts as an under dog. Again Vegas is usually right when they pick him as an under dog. The Tigers success against LHP has been there all season they are 14-2 in their L16 overall vs. LH starters.
YTD Thread Record
MLB- 0-0 (0 UNITS)