The Standard: 200 units (last day 8/31/09)
Yesterday: 3-1-1, +13.25 units
Currently: -65.6 units
Units remaining: 265.6
18-7-1, +54.4 units in first 5 days of July
Totals run of 17-6-2 last 25.
7/6/09
$300 NY Yankees -145
$200 Tor/NYY Under 9.5
The Yanks look for the sweep from Jays who have gone 2-8 in their last 10 gms. Pettitte is 8-3 on the season. Pettitte has only allowed 6 ERs in his last 3 outings, 9 ERs in his last 3 at home. The Jays slumping offense needs to give Romero a cushion. After a few high scoring games these teams will come back to reality and struggle to get runs today. Romero has been impecable. He is 6-3(2.85) on the year but is 3-0, with a 0.82 ERA over his last 3. Jays have won the last 4 Romero has started but played TB who has scored 11 runs in their last 5 gms, the Nats(say no more), and Philly two times, a team that had lost 12 of 17 before the Mets series and scored 4 runs or less in 16 of their last 28. Does not say much for Romero and his stats.
$400 Cincy +155
Cueto faces Hamels. I like what Cueto has brought to the table in Cincy, and Hamels, well we know what he can do. Just have not seen much of that this season. Nothing to like about Philly. The public may think they are hot now after dropping a plenty over the last 30 days but they swept the Mets. Swept a team that has not been able to score enough to win games. Philly still lacked run support in that series. Hamels may be fighting injury and playing through it which could be why he is struggling this year. I think the Reds are a live dog in this spot. If things are normal in this one, we could witness a 4-3 game but I have a strange feel that this one could get out of hand. Play the plus money tonight as the Reds steal this one from the Phills on the road!
$500 LA Angels -150
This is a rematch from last week, one that Millwood and the Rangers won by a score of 9-7. Jered Weaver has been a home workhorse at 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA in LA. Weaver has only allowed 3 ERs in his previous 3 home mtgs with Tex. Rangers have won 3 of the last 4 Millwood has started vs. LAA, but previously were just 2-6. This time around, the public will perceive a result similar to the last meeting between these starters. I disagree with that. Weaver has the edge at home. Millwood has weaker numbers on the road. Texas is just 2-5 in Millwood road starts this year. LA has won 12 of their last 15 games following a win, and have won 8 of the last 9 opening series games.
$200 SD/Arizona OVER 10
Jon Garland has been anything but great this season, especially at home. Walter Silva will match-up against Garland. Both of these starters have been horrendous in this spot. Garland has a 7.51 home ERA, while Silva has a 16.71 ERA on the road. Both starters have a combined WHIP of 3.45 which means there will possibly be a lot of base runners. In Garlands last 4 home outings, opponents combined for 38 total runs. Garland allowed 33 total hits over those 4 outings at home in less than 20 innings of work. Garland allowed 6 ERs in his last meeting with the Pads, this season, in a 6-3 loss. Silva has gone over in his two road starts this year. The over has hit in 13 of the last 16 meetings between these clubs. Opponents have averaged 7 runs per game over Silvas 5 outings this year.
$200 KC/Detroit UNDER 9
Both the Tigers and Royals have struggled for runs lately. The Royals have scored 27 runs in their last 10, and 12 of those came in the last 2 gms. Detroit has only scored 38 in their last 10 but more importantly, they have scored more than 4 runs only in 3 of those recent 10 games. Last season these teams had a span of 9 of 10 games that went under. Gil Meche(4-8, 4.20) faces Galarraga(5-7, 5.34). Meche has had tremendous success vs. Det on the road allowing 9 ERs in his last 5 in Detroit. Galarraga is 2-0 in his last 3 starts and looks to be back. Armando has not had trouble facing the Royals. In 3 career outings the Royals managed just 5 total runs. Look for this one to finish in the 6 run range in 4-2 fashion, keeping this one well under the total.
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