End date/deadline: 8/31/09
The Standard: 200 units by the deadline
Yesterday: 4-3, +3.05 units
Current standing: 4.5 units
Units remaining: 195.5
JUNE 6th
$500 Cleveland/Chisox Over 9.5
Sowers has struggled mightily on the road and previously against the Chisox making this a good play for the over this afternoon. Sowers has a 12.60 ERA on the road this year, allowed 20 ER's in his last 4 road starts, and 18 ERs in his last 4 vs. Chicago. His last 3 of 4 outings vs. Sox were brutal, and I am banking that he will struggle again today. Floyd has started to pitch well but his last 3 vs. Cleveland have gone over the total. This is a rematch from a 9-7 game last season these starters were involved in. Between the starters and bullpens this one should reach double digits today.
$200 Seattle/Minnesota Over 7.5(Bookmaker)
Blackburn and Washburn have both pitched well recently. Both these teams are capable of hitting, and after a low output last night, I expect this one to reach 9 runs in the least. It is very do-able. Each starter should give up 3 a piece, setting up for a few late runs by either one or both clubs. The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Seattle.
$200 Mets/Washington Over 9
Even though the Nats are dead even just about with overs/unders on the season it is really taking a risk playing under the total. Even though both Maine and Lannan have shined at times vs. these line-ups they also have been struggling in this spot. Maine has struggled on the road this year and opponents are averaging 5 runs per game over his last 5 on road. Lannan has struggled in 2 of his last 3 vs. NY allowing 5 ERs in the 2 bad outings. He has allowed 4+ runs in 4 of his last 6 vs. NY. The Nats had a strong showing by their bullpen up until the 10th last night and I feel it won't go so smoothly tonight.
$200 Colorado/St. Louis Under 8.5
All signs point to an over in this one with Cook and Wellemeyer slated to start. Usually when a total looks to good to be true it is. The public will jump on the over with this low total but I feel it has a shot at the under tonight. I would assume Cook will go 6 or 7 and Wellemeyer at least 5. Here are some interesting trends that have formed for this games situation tonight. Under is 11-5-1 last 17 mtgs in STL. In Cards last 11 home gms under is 9-2. Wellemeyer is surprisingly 4-0 to the under in his last 4 as fave. Rocks are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a dog.
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