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Originally Posted by Qbins Missile Crisis  Good luck amigo |
Thanks QMC!!
Okay, in case anyone had questions, I will explain in more detail exactly how these selections are to be played. I have a database with 5 MLB angles with 16 sub angles all together. Based off of several years of history and stats, along with all around team statistics.
The highest platform play will read 10 units or $1000. This is the best scenario worth of plays, hitting at a tenth under 70% over the last several seasons. These should bring in half the predicted units. The other ratios equal in the upper 50% - low 60% range, winning mostly with underdogs and totals. These will range anywhere from 1 unit to 6 or 7 units. The 6 and 7 unit plays are very rare and will only be seen once in a blue moon. I am looking at worst case scenario 40-18 on average reamaining for 10 unit plays, and 80-40 for combined remaining sides if this continues to work out.
Totals will be above .500 for this segment and should add to the fund.
If playing for a smaller amount, obviously many will start small if following, I suggest breaking down the listed units to where you feel comfortable. Leave room for at least 3 big days worth of plays. Usually Mon/Tuesdays and Fridays are the biggest days of the week. I wouldn't just let it ride on any given night as it could put you out of playing for good. Best to maybe sit back and watch for a week or even just play the 10 unit ones to start building as they are the most solid.
As for the plays themselves, all totals are usually listed pitchers with most sportsbooks and that is how I usually play them. Sides are always action, regardless of starter, we are playing the team itself in that spot. All listed units are to win that amount. So alot of 10 unit plays will be risking a bit more to win the 10 units.
Four of the angles are based on previous statistics. It gives me a win pct, and units are based off of those numbers. For example: the 10 unit plays hit at roughly 70% consistantly on average over years of research in MLB. The worst angle actually shows an average of 54-44 yearly which isn't much but shows a profit of a near 50 units based on playing 300 pp. The other angle shows an 85-54 mark per season. This also includes some 70% plays.
Sure hope this helped. It is a lot of info but it is needed for those with questions.
Today's plays to follow shortly!