Sports Betting Forums - NFL & NCAA Football | Basketball Picks - Sportsbook Review - View Single Post

ThePlatinumStandard · 06-04-2009, 11:11 AM

Yesterday: Angels/Jays Under pushed

Janssen hadn't allowed a run in 2 straight games vs. LA and gets tagged early.
Jesse Carlson had 2 and 1/3 relief vs. LAA previously, no runs allowed. Yesterday, 3 hits 1 Earned. Rolen's error would've been out number two setting up the Figgens K. 6-1 should've been the final but the push stings, it don't hurt.

June 4th

Between the Sox and Dodgers we are looking at a 75% win ratio meaning that we will win 3 of the next 4 of these selections.

$1000 Boston Red Sox -125
Boston is on fire right now, things are clicking, guys are starting to hit and drive in runs and that spells trouble for the AL. Detroit is being outscored and outplayed by Boston. I see this continuing today. Willis had a rough return this year but had 2 solid home starts to follow. He then fell off in his last start allowing 7 ERs. Is this a sign of games to come? I think the Sox will struggle against him a bit but have not faced him since 2006. Willis is not the same pitcher as he was then. Regardless, he will either pitch badly which will lead to a blow-out, or pitch well, but only go 5 innings. That is what my take on this game is. Wakefield has had good numbers vs. Det. Last year he went 13 innings in 2 starts allowing 1 ER, including a shutout. Play the road fave today!

$500 LA Dodgers -105
Looks like the Phills and Dodgers meet yet again. I would not put too much weight on Kershaw in his last two against Philly as he was on the road. He is better at home. Which brings me to Hamels, who has settled down this season, owns LA no matter where they play, but he has a 6+ ERA on the season on the road. The home team in this series last year was 11-2 during the regular season. LA is still serving payback for the playoff loss last year. Both starters have lost 5-3 games this year, in Philly. Look for Kershaw to outduel Hamels for the win tonight.

$300 Indians/Twins Under 9.5
I feel that the best total on the board is right in this game and here is why...Both Carmona and Baker have drastic changes in numbers comparing the Minnesota ballpark to the Cleveland park. Stats are like night and day. Baker in Cleveland, allowed 15 ERs, 28 inngs, last 5 starts. Baker at home vs. Cle, allowed 4 ERs, over 20 inngs, last 3. Carmona at home vs. Min, 13 ERs, 17.33 inngs, last 3. Carmona in Minny, 5 ERs in 22 innings in his last 3 there. Going by those drastic numbers they are both pitching in the right ballpark today. This one may get to 9 runs but should stay under that 9.5 for the win!

06-04-2009, 11:11 AM	#2 (permalink)
ThePlatinumStandard Equipment Manager Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 75	Yesterday: Angels/Jays Under pushed Janssen hadn't allowed a run in 2 straight games vs. LA and gets tagged early. Jesse Carlson had 2 and 1/3 relief vs. LAA previously, no runs allowed. Yesterday, 3 hits 1 Earned. Rolen's error would've been out number two setting up the Figgens K. 6-1 should've been the final but the push stings, it don't hurt. June 4th Between the Sox and Dodgers we are looking at a 75% win ratio meaning that we will win 3 of the next 4 of these selections. $1000 Boston Red Sox -125 Boston is on fire right now, things are clicking, guys are starting to hit and drive in runs and that spells trouble for the AL. Detroit is being outscored and outplayed by Boston. I see this continuing today. Willis had a rough return this year but had 2 solid home starts to follow. He then fell off in his last start allowing 7 ERs. Is this a sign of games to come? I think the Sox will struggle against him a bit but have not faced him since 2006. Willis is not the same pitcher as he was then. Regardless, he will either pitch badly which will lead to a blow-out, or pitch well, but only go 5 innings. That is what my take on this game is. Wakefield has had good numbers vs. Det. Last year he went 13 innings in 2 starts allowing 1 ER, including a shutout. Play the road fave today! $500 LA Dodgers -105 Looks like the Phills and Dodgers meet yet again. I would not put too much weight on Kershaw in his last two against Philly as he was on the road. He is better at home. Which brings me to Hamels, who has settled down this season, owns LA no matter where they play, but he has a 6+ ERA on the season on the road. The home team in this series last year was 11-2 during the regular season. LA is still serving payback for the playoff loss last year. Both starters have lost 5-3 games this year, in Philly. Look for Kershaw to outduel Hamels for the win tonight. $300 Indians/Twins Under 9.5 I feel that the best total on the board is right in this game and here is why...Both Carmona and Baker have drastic changes in numbers comparing the Minnesota ballpark to the Cleveland park. Stats are like night and day. Baker in Cleveland, allowed 15 ERs, 28 inngs, last 5 starts. Baker at home vs. Cle, allowed 4 ERs, over 20 inngs, last 3. Carmona at home vs. Min, 13 ERs, 17.33 inngs, last 3. Carmona in Minny, 5 ERs in 22 innings in his last 3 there. Going by those drastic numbers they are both pitching in the right ballpark today. This one may get to 9 runs but should stay under that 9.5 for the win!