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Handicapping

2010 NFL Betting – Seven Key Steps to Success

Ready To Bet On NFL Football In 2010?

Looking for some great tips to consider before 2010 NFL betting? We’ve got your back. Don’t you hate when you get that perfect betting tip or system at the end of the football season? You’re left thinking, “Why didn’t I know this before I lost money all year?” Time to change that.

CHECK OUT OUR CAPPERS 2010 NFL WEEKLY PICKS ALL SEASON LONG —–>

Just as the season is about to start, here are seven simple steps to follow for success. Some of them may be obvious, others not so much. But they can all help you. Enjoy!

1. Team statistics mean everything

You can usually tell a lot about a matchup simply by looking at each team’s statistical strengths and weaknesses. For example, while no one expected a 59-0 rout, most savvy bettors saw New England’s destruction of Tennessee coming last year. The reason: the Titans ranked brutally low against the pass and struggled to rush the passer whereas the Patriots ranked near the top of the league in passing offense. It was easy to see that Tom Brady would pick the Titans apart.

Team ranks sometimes matter more than an individual star’s presence. Nnamdi Asomugha is an elite cornerback and he helps make the Oakland Raiders’ pass defense respectable but he alone won’t ensure that Oakland will “shut down” an opponent and win. If Oakland can’t stop the run, it will still allow plenty of points.

2. Keep track of injuries

While you can sometimes get better value hammering lines early in the week, I recommend taking slightly less value but upping your odds closer to game time with an educated guess. Follow injury reports and be aware of any high-impact absences or returns to the lineup.

3. Watch the games

It’s a simple but effective way to know more about whom you’re betting on. Aaron Rodgers is a great quarterback but you’ll know from watching him that he holds onto the ball for way too long. When he faces an aggressive pass rush, you may expect him to take a few extra hits and turn over the ball.

Watching games can reveal things not found on a stat sheet. On paper, Brett Favre took zero sacks against New Orleans in the NFC Championship game last year. If you watched it live, you’ll know that the Saints beat the tar out of him by hitting him at the end of every play, even if he still got his throws off. Suddenly, the secret to defeating Favre was revealed: beat him up. Sports Betting at Sportsbook.com

4. Weather matters, especially late in the season

Rain and mud can affect teams’ run-to-pass ratios but it’s cold weather and snow that really give bettors a leg up. If a Florida team travels to Buffalo or Green Bay in December, pounce. Warm-weather teams often struggle to adjust in tough conditions.

A perfect example is a famous 1985 matchup between the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Green Bay Packers. In a vicious snow storm, the Pack gained 463 yards. The Bucs gained 69. Not a coincidence.

5. Losers aren’t always losers

Just because a team’s win-loss record is terrible doesn’t mean it will lose you money every week. Some bad teams consistently lose close games and thus beat the spread more often than people expect. The most famous example in 2009 was Kansas City; the Chiefs went 2-14 but lost eight games by a touchdown or less.

6. Keep track of betting-specific statistics

This rule goes hand-in-hand with No. 5. If you bet against the spread every week, doesn’t a team’s against the spread record matter more than its win-loss record? The Cleveland Browns were 10-6 ATS last year. If you ignored their  5-11 straight-up record and followed the betting trends, they would’ve won you money.

Betting statistics go beyond the spread; don’t forget about over/under records.

7. Look for value early in the season

It’s easier to handicap a game in Week 15, when you have a boatload of season rankings and accurate current team statistics to help with your forecast. But what about Week 1, when we don’t truly know how much a team has improved over the offseason?

Take the Denver Broncos. Everyone expected them to be a disaster in 2009 yet they opened the season 6-0. Opponents underestimated them and so did bettors. It’s no sure thing, but it can be profitable to play a hunch on your favorite surprise team early in the season.

For example, most books favor the Chicago Bears by seven over the Detroit Lions in Week 1 this year. But what if Chicago underestimates rookie Jahvid Best’s breakaway speed or Ndamukong Suh’s ability to rush Jay Cutler? Sometimes, early-season unpredictability gives you value.

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Categories
NFL

2010/11 NFL Strength of Schedule

NFL FOOTBALL – 2010 NFL Strength Of Schedule (SOS)

With the 2010 NFL schedule announced this week we are now able to see exactly what the 2010/11 NFL Strength of Schedule will be.

Categories
NFL

2009/10 NFL Strength of Schedule

NFL FOOTBALL – 2009 NFL Strength Of Schedule (SOS)

With the 2009 NFL schedule announced this week we are now able to see exactly what the 2009/10 NFL Strength of Schedule will be.

The 2009 NFL Preseason Schedule and the 2009 ESPN Monday Night Football Schedule have also been announced this week, check back on CappersPicks.com for all of this years 2009-2010 NFL Scheduling Information.

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Handicapping

BodogLife Sportsbook: 10 Super Bowl Stats

Super Bowl Stat Check

The Big Game has cranked out some big numbers over the years – like the $94.5 million wagered in Nevada alone for Super Bowl XL, and the $8-10 billion expected to change hands worldwide this Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Arizona Cardinals do their thing.

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Handicapping

NFL | NBA | CBB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Sports Stat Check – January 15th Edition

We’re all agog over this week’s NFL Conference title games, and the Super Bowl after that. Which makes this a great time to get a jump on the basketball betting market. We kick off this weekend’s list of 10 stats and factoids with this hoops curiosity: The inventor of basketball, James Naismith, was also the only losing head coach in Kansas Jayhawks history. Naismith finished in 1907 with a record of 55-60.  

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Handicapping

NFL Playoff & CBB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Sports Stat Check – January 10th Edition

It’s time to say goodbye to another year of college football – and hello to the beautiful game of basketball. Every handicapper should be absorbed in hoops, given how betting-friendly the sport is. We’ll help you get there as we add some roundball stats and factoids to our coverage of this weekend’s NFL Divisional Round action.  

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Handicapping

NFL & CFB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Christmas Edition – Football Stats Check

It’s the holiday edition of stat check, so in keeping with the spirit of the season, here’s an extra goodie to go along with our usual Top 10 football stats and factoids for the weekend: The longest NFL game in history took place on Christmas Day. Miami beat Kansas City 24-21 in double overtime in the 1971 AFC Divisional playoffs. Garo Yepremian booted the winning figgie at 82:40.  

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Handicapping

NFL & CFB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Football Stats Check – Week #16

Today’s list of football stats and factoids for the weekend is dedicated to legendary QB Sammy Baugh, who passed away Wednesday at the age of 94. Baugh led TCU to victory at the 1936 Sugar Bowl and the 1937 Cotton Bowl, and won two NFL titles with the Redskins in 1937 and 1942 – playing both ways and punting. His No. 33 is the only uniform Washington has ever retired. Without Baugh’s contributions, the NFL might not exist today.  

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Handicapping

NFL & CFB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Football Stats Check – December 13

Who said there was no college football this weekend? Our Top 10 gridiron stats and factoids will visit the two FCS semifinal games and the Division II championship, all three of which are being shown on the Worldwide Leader with betting lines attached.  

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Cappers

Week 14 Cappers NFL Analysis

NFL Lines – Some NFL Teams Will Be Left Out in the Cold

What do Pittsburgh and New England have in common besides cold weather climates in the NFL? They have outstanding regular season records in December since 2003.

Most importantly, both AFC teams made the Super Bowl four of the past five years, winning three times.

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Handicapping

NFL & CFB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Football Stats Check – November 21st

You’ve probably heard by now that last week’s 11-10 win by the Steelers over the Jaguars was one for the history books – the first ever NFL game to end in that score. But according to the folks at Football Reference, there have been seven other “first-ever” scores this season, most recently the Jets beating the Rams 47-3 in Week 10.

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Handicapping

NFL & CFB Handicapping Stats & Betting Tips

Football Stat Check – November 13

If you’re ever feeling like you’ve been hit with the dumb stick, remember: The numbers don’t lie. Tom Landry, Chuck Noll, Bill Walsh and Jimmy Johnson were a combined 4-53-1 as first-year NFL coaches. We can’t promise you’ll become a Hall of Famer, but we can give you 10 of the weekend’s most interesting football stats and factoids.