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Free Picks: UFC 179 Aldo vs. Mendes 2 Betting Odds & Preview

Free Picks: Aldo vs. Mendez 2 Betting Odds & Preview

UFC 179 comes our way this weekend from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. A number of elite Brazilian fighters are on the card including seemingly untouchable Featherweight Champ Jose Aldo and Light Heavyweight Glover Teixeira. On paper, this looks to be a very solid card – let’s take a look.

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Free Picks: UFC 178 Johnson vs. Cariaso Betting Odds & Preview

UFC Betting Odds

UFC 178 comes our way from Las Vegas this Saturday night. As Always Capper Picks provides free picks for all of the action. Cappers Picks provides free UFC handicapping tips for every event on the UFC fight calender. Our man Dave B has your back.

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Free Picks: UFC 177 Dillashaw vs. Barao II Betting Odds & Preview

UFC 177: Betting Odds & Predictions

UFC 177 comes our way from Sacramento this weekend and features a rematch between TJ Dillashaw and Renan Barao – maybe the only two fighters you’ve ever heard of. Truth be told the card seriously lacks star power and looks, on paper more like a UFC Fight Night card. Cappers Picks provides free UFC handicapping tips for every event on the UFC fight calender. Our man Dave B has your back.

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UFC 175 Handicapping | Betting Preview | Free UFC Picks

UFC 175 Preview and Picks

UFC 175 comes our way from Las Vegas this Saturday. Two Titles will be on the line as Chris Weidman defends his Middleweight strap against Lyoto Machida and Ronda Rousey defends her Woman’s Title against Alexis Davis.

UFC 175: Weidman vs. Machida
Date: July 5, 2014
Time: 10pm ET/7pm PT
Location: Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: Pay-per-view, Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Pass
Main Card (on Pay-Per-View)
Chris Weidman (11-0): -200
Lyoto Machida (21-4): +160
UFC Odds From Bovada

A stacked Main Card will be preceded by a terrific preliminary card headed by Urija Faber’s bout with Alex Caceres. It promises to be a great night of fights – let’s break it down.

Chris Weidman defends his Middleweight Title for the second time off two straight wins against the once-untouchable Anderson Silva – quite a statement for all the doubters and all fighters in the UFC’s Middleweight Division. Weidman’s opposition Saturday will be provided by former Light-Heavyweight champ Lyoto Machida who has absolutely caught fire since dropping a weight class. Weidman brings a terrific all around game into the Octagon while Machida brings elusiveness unique to Machida and a counter-punching ability nearly second-to-none.

Weidman has ridden a terrific grappling game to the top of the ladder – his wrestling is top notch and his top control has served him well during an undefeated UFC career. What has impressed the world is Weidman’s improved stand-up game however. He stood and traded with Silva and came out on top twice – absolutely nobody in the world can say that! Weidman is well rounded, he is young, he is hungry and most of all – he a confident champ that won’t be eager to let someone knock him off his perch.

Lyoto Machida has proven to be in a different class during his MMA career – he looked a tad lost in losing four of seven fights at Light-Heavyweight (those fights were against the best on the planet) but he looks reborn at Middleweight knocking out Mark Munoz and decisioning Gegard Mousasi in his only two fights at this weight.

Machida’s style will likely cause Weidman some serious problems here – The Dragon is exceptionally difficult to takes down and his counter-punching ability is second to none. Simply put there aren’t a whole lot of fighters that can replicate the style of Machida. Machida’s karate background makes him very difficult to hit and is superior take down defense gives him the edge in this one.
Weidman has been impressive indeed but Machida represents a stylistic nightmare for Weidman who depends on aggressiveness, dragging the fight to the mat and getting in close on his opponents.

Machida isn’t a stranger to Title Fights – I think he rises to the occasion and gives Weidman fits en route to victory. Look for Weidman to be forced into a mistake against the Dragon – all Machida needs is one blunder!

Pick: Lyoto Machida +160

Ronda Rousey (9-0): -1400
Alexis Davis (16-5): +750

The once popular Ronda Rousey steps back into the Octagon to defend her Women’s Bantamweight Title on Saturday against Alexis Davis who has looked great during a five fight win streak and is undefeated inside the Octagon. Davis’ chore will be to stay away from Rousey’s signature armbar while Rousey’s goal will be to stay out of rage of Davis’s superior technical striking ability.

Rousey has proven in her last two fights that she isn’t just a one trick pony. A war against Miesha Tate demonstrated her durability and her win over Sara McMann showed just how far Rousey has come as a complete MMA fighter.

Alexis Davis is absolutely no joke! She is a black belt in both Japanese Ju Jitsu and BJJ – as good a grappler as there is in women’s MMA and her Muay Thai skills are light years beyond anyone that Rousey has faced.

That said Rousey has been virtually untouchable so far in her career – no reason to think any differently about Saturday’s match. While a bet on Rousey doesn’t offer any value, I am looking at a prop bet in this one. Davis should be able to last past one round in this one as she uses her striking to keep Rousey away for at least 5 minutes. Once Rousey finds her range this fight is over – my bet is the second round in this one.

Pick: Take Alexis Davis to stretch Rousey into the rare second round!

Stefan Struve (25-6): -205
Matt Mitrione (7-3): +165

Seven foot tall Stefan Struve steps back into the Octagon Saturday after a broken jaw kept him out of action for the better part of a year. Struve’s challenger Saturday? Matt Mitrione – a super athletic Heavyweight with terrific striking and an ability to learn from every fight.
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Struve brings a good all around game into the Octagon – the Skyscraper has good striking to go along with a very good grappling game. Struve’s weakness is getting hit too much – engaging in wars that he has no business being in. I think that’s his downfall again against Mitrione whose movement, his pace and his power will be too much for Struve.

All it takes is one shot for Mitrione – I think he gets that shot Saturday and ends Stefan’s night early.

Pick: Matt Mitrione +165

Uriah Hall (8-4): -400
Thiago Marreta (9-2): +300

The Ultimate Fighter winner Uriah Hall takes on TUF Brazil contestant Thiago Marreta in Middleweight action Saturday. Hall is one of the most explosive strikers in the division while Marreta also brings a strong striking background into the match.

This is a tough fight to call – Hall is likely the more talented of the two fighters but has shown a propensity of losing interest when being dragged into deep water. If Marreta can frustrate Hall he has a terrific chance of winning the fight.

But my guess is that Hall has worked on the mental side of his game and as the more talented of the two fighters, I like him to win and make a statement in the UFCs Middleweight Division. Don’t blink – it will likely happen fast!

Pick: Uriah Hall -400

Marcus Brimage (6-2): -115
Russell Doane (13-3): -115

Bantamweights open the PPV portion of UFC 175 when Marcus Brimage takes on Russell Doane. Doane looked tremendous in his UFC debut submitting BJJ World Champion Leandro Issa in the second round – impressive indeed. Brimage looked decent during his time on the TUF 14 cast –demonstrating good striking and a nice amount of power.

Brimage’s one major hole is his ground game – this will be his undoing Saturday. Doane can win this fight anywhere it happens to go – he’s that well rounded but look for him to drag this fight to the mat where he has an overwhelming advantage. I see this one ending by submission early!

Pick: Russell Doane -115

Preliminary Card

(on Fox Sports 1)

Urijah Faber (30-7): -1100 vs. Alex Caceres (10-5): +650
Pick: Urijah Faber -1100

Kenny Robertson (13-3): +125 vs. Ildemar Alcantara (20-6): -155
Pick: Ildemar Alcantara -155

Chris Camozzi (19-7): -260 vs. Bruno Santos (13-1): +200
Pick: Chris Camozzi -260

George Roop (15-10-1): -200 vs. Rob Font (10-1): +160
Pick: George Roop -200

Preliminary Card

(on UFC Fight Pass)

Luke Zachrich (13-3): +135 vs. Guilherme Vasconcelos (3-1): -165
Pick: Luke Zachrich +135

Kevin Casey (5-3): +145 vs. Bubba Bush (8-2): -175
Pick: Kevin Casey +145

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UFC 174 Handicapping | Betting Preview | Free UFC Picks

UFC 174 Preview and Picks

The UFC returns to beautiful Vancouver, British Columbia this Saturday for UFC 174 – a card that is highlighted by a Flyweight Championship bout between Demetrious Johnson and dangerous challenger Ali Bagautinov.

A fight with Welterweight Title shot implications between Rory MacDonald and Tyron Woodley is also on the card as well as former UFC Heavyweight champion Andre Arlovski’s return to the organization.

It promises to be a stellar night of fights – let’s break it down.

UFC 174: Johnson vs. Bagautinov
Date: June 14, 2014
Venue: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia
Broadcast: Pay-Per-View, Fox Sports 1 and UFC Fight Pass
UFC Odds From Bovada

Main Card (on Pay-Per-View)

Demetrious Johnson (19-2-1): -565
Ali Bagautinov (13-2): +435

Demetrious Johnson will defend the Featherweight strap for the third time Saturday looking nearly impossible to stop. In his last three fights he has won by decision by armbar and by knockout! Translation – he can and will beat you anywhere the fight happens to go. Ali Bagautinov, the 2012 World Sambo Champion provides the challenge Saturday and himself brings with him a good set of all around skills.

Bagautinov will attempt to utilize his strong striking game and hope to throw some of his patented takedowns in there. But perhaps his best weapon ahead of this fight is his takedown defense – he has shown a tremendous ability to shrug his opponents’ takedowns and keep fights standing – exactly where he likes it.

Johnson’s quickness is already legendary in the UFC – you have to catch him in order to do any damage. While I don’t see Johnson being able to drag this fight to the mat, I do see Johnson being able to stay out of the danger zones with his insane footwork and speed. It looks like a lopsided win for Mighty Mouse as he peppers Baugautinov during a standup war en route to a relatively easy decision win.

Bring on John Dodson!

Pick: Demetrious Johnson -565

Rory MacDonald (16-2): +125
Tyron Woodley (13-2): -145

Rory MacDonald will attempt to climb the Welterweight ladder on Saturday when he takes on Tyron Woodley who has absolutely taken the UFC by storm. MacDonald, ranked #2 in the division is coming off a unanimous decision against Demian Maia while Tyron Woodley is fresh off an incredible knockout win against the terrific Carlos Condit – his third KO win in his last four fights overall.

MacDonald has struggled in his career against top level competition and he has been largely unflattering in his last couple of fights. On the other hand Woodley has been uber-impressive every time out – his only loss in the organization was controversial to say the least – against Jake Shields.

Woodley’s aggressiveness, his wrestling prowess and his power will serve him well against a fighter that seems to retreat into a conservative shell when pressed in fights. One mistake is all Woodley needs – I think MacDonald is good for one of those Saturday night.

Pick: Tyron Woodley -145

Ryan Bader (16-4): -143
Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante (12-4, 1 NC): +123

Light Heavyweight do battle on Saturday night when former Strikeforce champion Rafael Cavalcante takes on Ryan Bader for a little credibility within the Light Heavyweight division. Bader brings a smothering wrestling game to the Octagon on the heels of a win while Cavalcante brings a 1-1 record in the UFC – his win came in TKO fashion last time out against Igor Pokrajak and his loss was at the hands of Thiago Silva in his UFC debut.
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This fight is a true contrast in styles with both fighters are desperate to climb the UFC ladder – neither can afford a loss. Look for the former two-time All-American wrestler Ryan Bader to impose his will in this fight – any sense of trouble for the American and he will certainly drag this fight to the mat where he has a distinct advantage. It may not be the most exciting win but Bader should be able to grind out a victory here.

Pick: Ryan Bader -143

Andrei Arlovski (21-10, 1 NC): +125
Brendan Schaub (10-3): -145

Andrei Arlovski will be welcomed back to the UFC by #13 ranked Heavyweight Brendan Schaub on Saturday night, nine years after he wore the UFC Heavyweight strap. While Arlovski has lost a step or two he will have a distinct striking advantage in this fight which should be enough. Both of these fighters have been knocked out in the recent past – neither has a particularly good chin.

Because of that, I have to go with the better striker – a motivated Arlovski is that guy!

Pick: Andrei Arlovski +125

Ovince Saint Preux (15-5): -145
Ryan Jimmo (19-3): +125

Light Heavyweights kick off the Pay-Per-View portion of UFC 174 when Ovince Saint Preux takes on Ryan Jimmo, who will attempt to win two straight fights for the first time in his UFC career. Saint Preux has been on fire – three straight wins but Jimmo possesses a very dangerous right hand as displayed in his seven second knockout win in his UFC debut.

Jimmo’s pattern recently has been win one and then lose one. No reason to think that the pattern changes against a very confident Saint Preux. Saint Preux makes a statement Saturday night and takes another step up the UFC ladder.

Pick: Ovince Saint Preux -145

Preliminary Card (on Fox Sports 1)

Daniel Sarafian (8-4): -360 vs. Kiichi Kunimoto (16-5-2, 1 NC): +295
Pick: Daniel Sarafian -360

Valerie Letourneau (5-3): -130 vs. Elizabeth Phillips (4-1): +100
Pick: Valerie Letourneau -130

Yves Jabouin (19-9): +155 vs. Mike Easton (13-4): -180
Pick: Yves Jabouin +155

Kajan Johnson (19-10-1): -170 vs. Tae Hyun Bang (16-8): +145
Pick: Tae Hyun Bang +145

Preliminary Card (on UFC Fight Pass)

Roland Delorme (9-2): -105 vs. Michinori Tanaka (9-0): -115
Pick: Michinori Tanaka -115

Josh Shockley (11-2): +115 vs. Jason Saggo (9-1): -135
Pick: Jason Saggo -135

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UFC 173 Handicapping | Betting Preview | Free UFC Picks

UFC 173 Preview and Picks

UFC 173 Preview and Picks For a Stacked Card in Vegas

The UFC has put together another typically stellar card for this weekend in Vegas. The Bantamweight Title will be on the line, Dan Henderson will be looking to cement his legacy with a win over the undefeated Daniel Cormier, a pair of Welterweight will be looking to keep their names in the Title picture and a pair of fights in the lower weight classes will get us primed for what should be three quality bouts to close out the evening.

UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw
Date: May 24, 2014
Time: 10pm ET/7pm PT
Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
Broadcast: Pay-per-view, Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Pass
UFC Odds From Bovada

Main Card

Renan Barao (32-1-0): -800
T.J. Dillashaw (9-2-0): +575

TJ Dillishaw steps in for injured Raphael Assuncao for the opportunity of his career – a title shot against Renan Barao – a fighter that hasn’t lost since April, 2005. You will search long and hard to find anyone giving Dillishaw a chance in this fight – me included.

Barao is an absolute nightmare to face – not only does he have a black belt in jiu-jitsu, his varied striking is some of the best in the organization. He can hit you and hurt you with both hands, both legs and both knees. He can and will do damage standing and IF you can get him to the ground (that’s a huge IF), you will be dealing with a fighter as comfortable looking for a submission as he is knocking you out.

Dillishaw has skills – don’t get me wrong. He is a former NCAA Division 1 wrestler that has never been taken down in his MMA career. His conditioning is top tier and his striking has improved immensely over the last couple of years. Dillishaw has to hope to be one of the few that can drag Barao down to the mat and control him there – I don’t see that happening.

TJ Dillishaw is a tough guy but Barao is on a completely different level at this point in time. Nobody has touched him in nearly 10 years! Dillishaw’s improved striking will help drag this fight out a little bit but in the end, standing and banging with Barao will prove to be his undoing. Nobody has hung with Renan Barao the last decade; I don’t expect Dillishaw to either!

Pick: Renan Barao -800

Daniel Cormier (14-0-0): -900
Dan Henderson (30-11-0): +650

The co-main event of the evening may be more intriguing than the main event – undefeated Daniel Cormier will try to knock off the legend Dan Henderson. Henderson will bring his patented right hand to the Octagon as well as a fading set of wrestling skills. Hendo looks to be in tough however against a fighter with a similar skillset but a younger, slightly more athletic makeup.

Cormier will have a huge size advantage as he makes his second appearance as a Light Heavyweight after fighting at Heavyweight for the bulk of his career. Cormier may also have the wrestling advantage against his 43 year old opponent.

While I think Henderson makes it all three rounds in this fight, I see him getting frustrated with the smothering style of Cormier. Expect Cormier to press Henderson against the fence and dirty box his way to a decision win. It certainly won’t be pretty but it should be another victory for a still-undefeated Cormier.
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Pick: Daniel Cormier -900

Jake Ellenberger (29-7-0): +190
Robbie Lawler (22-10-0): -225

A pair of knockout artists throw down in the third match of the pay-per-view card Saturday. Fighters looking to stay relevant in the Welterweight division square off – someone is likely to have their night end early in this one.

18 of Lawler’s 22 wins have come by knockout while 18 of Ellenberger’s 29 wins have come the same way – no reason to think differently about the outcome of this fight! Ellenberger didn’t look great in his last fight against Rory MacDonald while Lawler has won three of his last four fights – the only loss over that span coming to Johny Hendricks for the vacated Title – there is certainly no shame in that!

Lawler, assuming that he has gotten over his most recent loss is the better all around fighter in this one with a whole lot more to prove. Take him to knock Ellenberger out in the second round.

Pick: Robbie Lawler -225

Takeya Mizugaki (19-7-2): -175
Francisco Rivera (10-2-0): +150

Bantamweights take to the Octagon looking to make a little noise in the division when Takeya Mizugaki who is on a four fight win streak takes on Francisco Rivera whose six fight win streak came to a halt when he tested positive for a banned substance last time out after his KO win against Ronald Delorme.

While Rivera’s recent run has been impressive, he has gotten it done against lesser competition – the only time he has stepped up Rivera has been beaten down. Mizugaki on the other hand has been consistently facing top competition – two of his last four wins have come against top 15 guys.

Mizugaki’s experience over top tier guys will be the difference in this one – Rivera’s few steps up in competition haven’t gone so well – expect more of the same Saturday.

Pick: Takeya Mizugaki -175

James Krause (20-5-0): +145
Jamie Varner (21-9-1): -175

Lightweights kick off the pay-per-view card Saturday when James Krause takes on former WEC Lightweight champ Jamie Varner. Both fighters will be looking to climb up the ladder in the UFC hopefully securing a top 15 or even top 10 spot with a win. Both fighters are coming off losses and both need a strong rebound just to remain relevant in arguably the UFC’s toughest division.

Varner has lost three of his last four fights heading into Saturday night’s action while Krause’s only loss in the UFC came in controversial fashion – due to a possible low blow on a body kick against Bobby Green. Krause however brings with him an all-around skill set – he is as good on the ground as he is standing

Varner looks like the better fighter ahead of Saturday night’s showdown – he will have the experience edge against top competition and the reality that he may be fighting for his job in the organization. But with desperation comes carelessness – look tor Krause to jump on a few opportunities Varner gives up.

James Krauss and Jamie Varner are close on paper but the pressure in this fight is squarely on Jamie Varner. I think it will be too much as a care-free James Krauss posts the biggest win of his career.

Pick: James Krause +145

Preliminary Card

Michael Chiesa (10-1-0): -135 vs. Francisco Trinaldo (14-3-0): +115
Pick: Michael Chiesa -135

Tony Ferguson (14-3-0): -270 vs. Katsunori Kikuno (22-5-2): +230
Pick: Tony Ferguson -270

Chico Camus (14-4-0): +295 vs. Chris Holdsworth (5-0-0): -360
Pick: Chris Holdsworth -360

Mitch Clarke (10-2-0): +275 vs. Al Iaquinta (8-2-1): -335
Pick: Al Iaquinta -335

Fight Pass Card

Anthony Njokuani (16-7-0): -225 vs. Vinc Pichel (8-1-0): +190
Pick: Vinc Pichel +190

Aaron Phillips (5-0-0): +130 vs. Sam Sicilia (12-4-0): -150
Pick: Sam Sicilia -150

Jingliang Li (8-2-0): +130 vs. David Michaud (7-0-0): -150
Pick: +130

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UFC 172 Handicapping | Betting Preview | Free UFC Picks

UFC 172 Preview and Picks

Light Heavyweight Title On the Line – UFC 172 From Baltimore Saturday Night

The UFC has once again put together a stacked card for UFC 172 with the Light Heavyweight strap on the line. Jon Jones faces perhaps his stiffest test to date when he takes on Glover Teixeira in the Main Event while the rest of the card is littered with quality matchups to say the least.

Let’s take a look.

UFC 172: Jones vs. Teixeira
Date: April 26, 2014
Time: 10pm ET/7pm PT
Location: Baltimore Arena, Baltimore, Maryland
Broadcast: Pay-per-view, Fox Sports 1, UFC Fight Pass
UFC Odds From Bovada

Main Card: (PPV – 10 p.m. ET/7 p.m. PT)

Jon Jones (19-1): -500
Glover Teixeira (22-2): +385

Jon Jones gets back at it Saturday night for the first time since a Title Fight for the ages in September against Alexander Gustafsson. His task this time – defeat Glover Teixeira who rides a 20 fight win streak over 9 1/2 years into the Baltimore Arena. Jones hopes to use his incredible athleticism and terrific all around game against one of the more powerful Light Heavyweights on the planet.

Jones brings an almost indefensible wing span into the Octagon – one that he uses to stay on the outside and deliver a variety of punishing strikes to his opponent. He is long, he is lean, he is unorthodox and most of all he is powerful – able to inflict a ton of damage on his feet. When called upon, Jones is well versed in takedowns and ground control – he is as good on the mat as he is on his feet.

Teixeira is powerful – his training with Chuck Liddell most recently has only added to the intrigue of this top tier Light Heavyweight. Tex has incredible power in both hands and is also a 2nd degree Black Belt in jiu jitsu – he like Jones can succeed anywhere this fight happens to go. Add in Glover’s stellar defense, his takedown game and his impressive cardio and Glover Teixeira may be the most well rounded fighter that Jones has ever faced.

Jones will have learned a lot from his epic fight with Alex Gustafsson and will definitely be wary of Teixeira’s danger zones. Simply put – Jones’s athleticism will bail him out in this one! Jones’s wing span should be able to keep Glover at bay and Jones’s terrific takedown defense should ensure that he keeps out of Tex’s wheelhouse. In what is sure to be a razor-close fight, I like the champion to do enough and to ride his gifts to a narrow decision.

Pick: Jon Jones -500

Phil Davis (12-1, 1NC): -205
Anthony Johnson (16-4): +175

Two of the better wrestlers in the UFC do battle when Anthony Johnson, who went on a six fight win streak after getting released from the UFC, takes on Phil Davis who is fresh off a decision win over Lyoto Machida.

Johnson is likely the stronger man in this fight and he probably has the better overall ground game but Phil Davis is no slouch in the wrestling department. Davis is likely to have the edge in the standup as he showed in his last fight against Machida.

Johnson will be a motivated guy coming back after getting released from the organization but he runs into an ever-improving Phil Davis in this one. I like Davis to wear Johnson down in this one en route to a submission win – likely in the 3rd round.

Pick: Phil Davis -205

Luke Rockhold (11-2): -800
Tim Boetsch (17-6): +575

Former Strikeforce champ Luke Rockhold will look to keep his ascent up the UFC ladder going Saturday when he takes on the very tough Tim Boetsch in Middleweight action. Rockhold is coming off an impressive dominant win over Costa Philippou whole Boetsch was last seen winning a split decision over CB Dollaway.

Boetsch will be the stronger man in this fight but that is about where the advantages stop. Rockhold will enter as the better wrestler, the better striker and the more athletic of the two fighters. Rockhold`s only loss in the last six years came at the hands to Vitor Belfort – no shame in that.

I`ll take the more well rounded fighter to prevail against the one-trick pony in this one.

Pick: Luke Rockhold -800

Jim Miller (23-4, 1NC): -205
Yancy Medeiros (10-1): +175
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Jim Miller steps into the Octagon for the 17th time Saturday to take on injury replacement Yancy Medeiros who steps in for Bobby Green – an unenviable task for even the most seasoned fighter. Miller is a stellar grappler – able to smother his opponents with tremendous wrestling and mat control. His standup isn’t so bad either!

Miller is a “B+” fighter stepping into the Octagon with a “C+” fighter in this one. Bobby Green would have been in tough against Miller – Yancy Medeiros doesn’t have much of a chance.

Pick: Jim Miller -205

Max Holloway (8-3): +135
Andre Fili (13-1): -155

Andre Fili will put an impressive nine fight win streak on the line against a very tough Max Holloway who is coming off a Knockout of the Night fight against Will Chope. This has Fight of the Night written all over it!

Holloway will look to utilize his height and reach in this fight – keeping his range and using a variety of kicks and punches may be his best chance here. Fili is also a dangerous striker that will have the definite edge this weekend in the wrestling department – Fili has good takedowns that can bail him out more often than not.

The problem for Max Holloway here is that he will not have the huge size advantage that he is used to – Fili is a beast. Fili`s size, his striking and his overwhelming grappling advantage will be the difference in this one. Fili isn`t widely known in the UFC – Saturday night could change that!

Pick: Andre Fili -155

Preliminary Card: (Fox Sports 1 – 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT)

Joseph Benavidez (19-4): -380
Tim Elliott (10-4-1): +315
Pick: Joseph Benavidez -380

Isaac Vallie-Flagg (14-4-1): +180
Takanori Gomi (34-9, 1NC): -210
Pick: Takanori Gomi -210

Jessamyn Duke (3-0, 1NC): +100
Bethe Correia (7-0): -120
Pick: Bethe Correia -120

Joe Ellenberger (14-1): -280
Vagner Rocha +240
Pick: Joe Ellenberger -280

Preliminary Card: (UFC Fight Pass – 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT)

Danny Castillo (18-6): -270
Charlie Brenneman (19-6): +230
Pick: Danny Castillo -270

Chris Beal (8-0): -140
Patrick Williams (7-3): +120
Pick: Patrick Williams +120

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2009 UFC Fight Night Picks

UFC Fight Night – Early Preview and Picks

Fight Night 17 Selections

After being treated to one of the best Super Bowls ever, Tampa is about to be rocked by Fight Night 17 as UFC betting action invades the city for the first time on Saturday evening. The USF Sun Dome (University of South Florida campus) is the venue for the spectacular lineup that can be seen free on Spike TV, starting at 9:00pm EST.