Packers vs. Bears Gambling Preview/Prediction

December 21, 2008 by Ray M.

NFL: PACK SURPRISINGLY GETTING BACKED

The Green Bay Packers are officially eliminated from the NFL playoffs but the public backing is still firmly behind them.

Aaron Rodgers and company are traveling to their hated rivals, the Chicago Bears (8-6) on Monday Night Football and you can see this NFC North rivalry at 8:30 pm ET on ESPN.

Chicago opened as a 4 ½-point favorite but it is down to four points as 65% of the betting public is backing the Packers.

The only other underdogs getting more than 50% of the public backing at Sportsbook.com were the Cincinnati Bengals (72%) getting three points at Cleveland and the Carolina Panthers (54%) getting three points at the New York Giants.

The fact that the public likes Green Bay (5-9) is surprising for a number of reasons.

For one, Green Bay has lost and failed to cover the spread in the last four weeks. Last week’s loss came against a Jacksonville team that hadn’t covered the spread at home all year (0-6 ATS). The final score was Jacksonville 20, Green Bay 16 and the Pack were 2 ½-points favorites as the public loved them in that game too.

Second is the revenge factor. Green Bay’s last win came on November 16th when they absolutely blasted the Bears 37-3. Even if this game is close in the fourth quarter, the Bears would love to return the favor and pile up points if they can.

Third is the motivation. Even if Minnesota wins over Atlanta on Sunday and clinches the NFC North, the Bears will still be alive for a Wild Card spot.

Finally, this is the third game in-a-row for the Bears at Soldier Field. They are well rested and played very well in beating Jacksonville two weeks ago in getting the cover. They pushed against New Orleans last week but they did have a 21-7 lead at one point and showed grit in winning in overtime.

In addition to the game and Total wagering, we also have our Primetime Prop for this contest. Wager on the “Player to Score 1st TD” prop for the Packers @ Bears game. If your selection scores the game’s first touchdown and proceeds to rush OR receive for at least 100 yards in the game, winning wagers will be doubled up to $100.00 for this specific prop.

Note that some of the current odds for the ‘Player to Score 1st TD’ prop are: Matt Forte (5:1), Ryan Grant (6:1), Greg Jennings (6:1), Donald Driver (8:1) and Devin Hester (8:1).

Forte looks like a real solid bet as he is more than capable of scoring the first touchdown and going over 100 yards rushing to satisfy the Primetime Prop.

The same goes for Grant who has rushed for more than 100 yards three times this season already and passing yards could be at a premium in the cold night temperatures.

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