NBA: BULLS FEELING THE HEAT
The Chicago Bulls are in a must-win situation as they play at the Miami Heat tonight, but does that in itself make them a good betting play?
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The term ‘must-win’ is an overused and overrated angle in betting sports. For a team to face a ‘must-win scenario’, odds are they underperformed earlier in the year, putting themselves in a difficult predicament.
Still, there are some other reasons to like the ‘Da Bulls’ tonight.
Chicago beat the Milwaukee Bucks last Friday to move into the 8th and final spot in the East Conference. The Bulls have four teams breathing down their necks and must keep winning. Note they are 10-23 (15-17-1 ATS) on the road and losers of four straight (0-4 ATS).
Chicago (31-31-1 ATS) has made two major trades in the last two seasons to give themselves a chance to make the playoffs. The most important move wasn’t a trade; it was adding a rose to the roster, top pick Derrick Rose.
The former Memphis star has not disappointed, ranking second among rookies with 16.6 PPG and first with 6.3 assists. He has been a key component to the Bulls 7-1-1 ATS record against teams with winning records.
Miami (33-29, 28-34 ATS) is coming off a Saturday night loss at Cleveland. The Heat are one loss behind Atlanta for the all important 4th seed in the East and first round home court advantage.
Miami has been remarkably consistent, just not always in a good way. The Heat have not lost three or more in a row since the middle of December, however they have won three straight just once in 2009.
Note the Heat have had their way with the Central Division with a 10-4 ATS record. One the downside though, they are 6-16 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more.
Looking at the Total in this game, Miami is 13-3 Under in a home game where the total is between 200 and 209.5 points.