PGA Betting – 2012 HP Byron Nelson Championship Predictions
The PGA TOUR moves to Irving Texas this week for the 2012 HP Byron Nelson Championship after a thrilling PLAYERS Championship last week.
2012 HP Byron Nelson Championship
Location: Irving, Texas, United States
Course: TPC at Four Seasons
Date: May 17-20, 2012
Total Purse: US $ 6,500,000
Winner’s Share: US $ 1,170,000 (18% of total purse)
Defending Champion: Keegan Bradley ($1,170,000)
A fairly strong group has been assembled to knock off defending champ – Keegan Bradley who started this season on fire but has cooled significantly. Without some of the top names there however, the field is wide open to take the $1.17 million first prize.
Driving distance and accuracy will be key this week at the TPC at Four Seasons – ball striking will be rewarded on a course that is ranked 5th toughest on TOUR.
Let’s take a look at some of the interesting names in the field and how they should fare this weekend.
The Favorites:
Phil Mickelson 11/1
Phil hasn’t played this event since 2007 when he finished T3 – he also won in 2006! Mickelson has played two weekends in a row and although not ripping up any course he is steady. He leads the PGA TOUR in scrambling, ranks ninth in the all-around is sixth in bogey avoidance and is also 13th in Strokes Gained-Putting. Phil will contend but with a lack of sharpness at the moment will likely fall just short.
Matt Kuchar 12/1
Kuchar was incredible at the PLAYERS and managed to block out the collapse of his playing partner on Sunday. Hardly anyone wins back-to-back tournaments but if anyone can it is Kuchar who is eighth in scrambling and fourth in bogey avoidance on TOUR and who finished T6 at this event last year. Kuchar is on fire and is firmly on the radar!
Adam Scott 14/1
Finished T15 last week and has the game to get it done this week. His problem this year – he just hasn’t played enough for us to get a good gage on his game. He did win this event in 2006 and he was T3 at the Byron Nelson two years before that. Scott loves this course and may be due for his first win of the year.
The Contenders:
Keegan Bradley 18/1
Is the defending Champion in this event and has looked elite at times this year. But Bradley has hit a bit of a speed bump in his last two events specifically – a T35 last week and a missed cut the week before. He is currently tops on TOUR in the all-around ranking and sits 21st in bogey avoidance but is mired in a streak of four tournaments with no top 25s.
Louis Oosthuisen 22/1
Has something to prove after missing the cut at the PLAYERS. This will be Louis’s first start at this event and based on being seventh on TOUR in ball-striking and 15th in greens in regulation he could be a factor.
Jason Day 22/1
Is another player that needs a bounce back performance after missing the cut last week. Day won this event in 2010 however and he did finish 5th last year. His length will serve him well again on this course and so will his love of and his prior success on this track!
Jason Dufner 22/1
Barely made the cut last week but didn’t make much noise after that! He is a tremendous driver of the golf ball however and he has had some success at this event (T8 last year). Dufner is riding a wave of confidence and can’t be counted out!
Carl Pettersson 30/1
Pettersson finished T10 last week and was the most consistent golfer in the field. He is 49th on TOUR in ball-striking, 12th in Strokes Gained-Putting and 22nd in bogey avoidance on TOUR this year and he like so many others has had some success on this track – T4 in 2008.
Ernie Els 30/1
Yet another stud that missed the cut last week – don’t expect that to happen two weeks in a row. He hasn’t played this event in five years but does have a win and three top 20s at TPC at Four Seasons.
John Rollins 40/1
He leads the PGA TOUR in total driving and ranks 30th in greens in regulation – perfect for this course. He has seven top 25s already in 2012 including a T25 last week and he finished 6th at this tournament last year. Looking for value? Look no further than Mr. Rollins!
Brian Gay 40/1
Has finished top 15 in his last four starts in this event including a T2 in 2010. His lack of power may be a hindrance but his touch around the greens should more than make up for it.
Brian Davis 40/1
Has been playing very well as of late – five top 25s in his last six starts including a T25 at Sawgrass. He hasn’t a great track record in this event although his only cut made resulted in a second place finish in 2008. [soliloquy id=”82219″]
The Sleepers:
Johnson Wagner 45/1
Wagner has stumbled a bit lately but he does have four top 10s in 2012. He is 56th on TOUR in fairways hit, 18th in greens in regulation, 44th in Strokes Gained-Putting and 47th in bogey avoidance and he did finish T12 here in 2010
D.A. Points 60/1
Points maybe deserved a better fate two weeks ago and will be looking to build on a tremendous effort at the Wells Fargo. In his last appearance at the Nelson he finished T6 in 2010. He has the game to surprise for sure this week.
The Pick:
It is hard not to like Matt Kuchar this week but we’ve seen how difficult it is to win two weeks in a row on TOUR.
In that vein, Adam Scott 14/1 is my pick this week. He played well last week and he does have a great history on this track.
My sleeper is D.A. Points at 60/1.
If karma is a real thing, he should do well this week!
2012 The Players Championship Betting Lines & Future Odds
CLICK TO BET
| Phil Mickelson | 10/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 12/1 |
| Adam Scott | 12/1 |
| Keegan Bradley | 16/1 |
| Jason Day | 18/1 |
| Jason Dufner | 22/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 20/1 |
| Ernie Els | 28/1 |
| Carl Pettersson | 28/1 |
| Brian Gay | 40/1 |
| Jeff Overton | 40/1 |
| Brian Davis | 40/1 |
| Johnson Wagner | 40/1 |
| John Rollins | 40/1 |
| Ryan Palmer | 35/1 |
| D-A Points | 50/1 |
| Charles Howell III | 50/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 50/1 |
| Scott Piercy | 50/1 |
| Y-E Yang | 66/1 |
| Seung-yul Noh | 66/1 |
| John Huh | 66/1 |
| Greg Chalmers | 66/1 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 66/1 |
| Jimmy Walker | 66/1 |
| Jonas Blixt | 80/1 |
| Robert Garrigus | 80/1 |
| Pat Perez | 80/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 80/1 |
| Gary Woodland | 100/1 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 100/1 |
| Blake Adams | 100/1 |
| Vijay Singh | 80/1 |
| Boo Weekley | 100/1 |
| Marc Leishman | 66/1 |
| Ken Duke | 80/1 |
| Brendan Steele | 100/1 |
| Harrison Frazar | 100/1 |
| James Driscoll | 100/1 |
| Arjun Atwal | 125/1 |
| Chad Campbell | 100/1 |
| Rod Pampling | 100/1 |
| David Mathis | 100/1 |
| Graham Delaet | 125/1 |
| Hunter Haas | 125/1 |
| Danny Lee | 150/1 |
| Matt Jones | 125/1 |
| Ricky Barnes | 125/1 |
| Heath Slocum | 125/1 |
| Brandt Jobe | 150/1 |
| Kris Blanks | 150/1 |
| Bob Estes | 150/1 |
| Greg Owen | 125/1 |
| Justin Leonard | 150/1 |
| Vaughn Taylor | 150/1 |
| J.J. Henry | 150/1 |
| Billy Mayfair | 150/1 |
| Will Claxton | 150/1 |
| Jerry Kelly | 150/1 |
| John Mallinger | 150/1 |
| Kevin Chappell | 150/1 |
| William Mcgirt | 150/1 |
| Andres Romero | 175/1 |
| Bobby Gates | 175/1 |
| Colt Knost | 150/1 |
| Miguel Angel Carballo | 150/1 |
| Scott Verplank | 150/1 |
| Tim Herron | 175/1 |
| Russell Knox | 150/1 |
| Billy Horschel | 150/1 |
| Josh Teater | 150/1 |
| Chris Couch | 150/1 |
| Jeff Maggert | 150/1 |
| Paul Haley | 175/1 |
| Roberto Castro | 175/1 |
| Ryuji Imada | 200/1 |
| Stephen Ames | 200/1 |
| Alex Cejka | 200/1 |
| Steve Flesch | 200/1 |
| Nick O’Hern | 200/1 |
| Tommy Gainey | 200/1 |
| Martin Flores | 200/1 |
| Chez Reavie | 200/1 |
| Roland Thatcher | 250/1 |
| John Merrick | 200/1 |
| Erik Compton | 200/1 |
| Garth Mulroy | 200/1 |
| Mark Anderson | 200/1 |
| Scott Stallings | 250/1 |
| Daniel Chopra | 250/1 |
| Joe Ogilvie | 200/1 |
| Troy Matteson | 250/1 |
| Briny Baird | 200/1 |
| Jason Bohn | 250/1 |
| Mathew Goggin | 250/1 |
| Nathan Green | 200/1 |
| Cameron Beckman | 250/1 |
| Richard S Johnson | 250/1 |
| Rocco Mediate | 250/1 |
| Tim Petrovic | 250/1 |
| Brett Wetterich | 250/1 |
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