PGA Betting – Greenbrier Classic Preview & Pick
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Date: Thursday July 29 – Sunday Aug. 01
Event: The Greenbrier Classic
Course: The Old White Course, White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia
Purse: $6.0 million
Defending Champ: N/A
FedEX Cup Points Up For Grabs: 500
It’s not quite the silly season in the PGA – after all, there’s still a major championship left on the docket – but we’re seeing plenty of tournaments pop up with potential for low scores. Greenbrier’s host course this week is a tight little track that will reward the accurate ball strikers with a penchant for going low.
It wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see some comically low scores just as we did at the Canadian Open last week.
Here are the top picks on my radar.
THE CONTENDERS
Jim Furyk
Greenbrier Classic odds: +1215
Furyk is tough to figure this week. He’s the highest-ranked player in the field at fifth in the world. He’s 18th on Tour in scrambling and 17th in adjusted scoring average too. But Furyk also appears to be tiring. He missed the cut at the British Open a couple weeks back. He gives you considerably lower value than the rest of the field, so I’d avoid him.
Matt Kuchar
Greenbrier Classic odds: +1850
The numbers certainly point Kuchar’s way this week. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of his last five Tour starts and his peripheral stats are great: 14th in greens, seventh in scoring average, first in all-around ranking. A win is within reach. 
Nick Watney
Greenbrier Classic odds: +2050
Watney looks like another excellent play this week – and at better value than the other top contenders. He’s a great ball striker – eighth-best on Tour – and he makes birdies, ranking 12th in that regard. He’s playing well at the moment as well, riding two straight seventh-place finishes.
SOLID PICKS
Jeff Overton
Greenbrier Classic odds: +2550
Still seeking his first PGA Tour win but Overton seems to be creeping closer to that feat. He’s a par breaker – 10th on par-3s and 17th on par-4s – so he has the goods to post some low scores this weekend.
Brendon De Jonge
Greenbrier Classic odds: +3550
If you like riding the hot hand, maybe De Jonge is your guy? He’s posted nine consecutive rounds under par – the best active streak on Tour. He’s also 27th in putting and that could come in handy if the course dries out and the greens get fast on Saturday and Sunday.
THE SLEEPER
Greg Chalmers
Greenbrier Classic odds: +5250
Finished fourth on a similar track last week at the Canadian Open and is playing consistent golf right now, with eight straight rounds of par or better to his name. Chalmers is also a top-20 guy in putting, scrambling and sand saves, so he can bail himself out if he gets into a trouble. A solid sleeper.
THE PICK
There’s no denying that the field this week is, well, weak. When the field lacks star power, I like perusing the list of competitors and finding names that stick out. Nick Watney’s jumps out to me. He plays at a higher level than most of the guys in this field and he’s playing good golf of late. He won’t be intimidated. Give him a shot.
Pick: Watney +2050
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