NFL Week 6 Wagering – St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins
The St. Louis Rams (0-4 SU & ATS) hope they can start over with a new coach, but many fear it will be the same old story when they face off against the Washington Redskins (4-1 SU & ATS) in NFL action that is scheduled to begin at 1 PM ET at FedEx Field (natural turf) in Landover, MD.
Sunday, October 12
BetUS NFL betting odds: WASHINGTON -13, Total 44
NOTABLE STAT: St. Louis has scored one point for every 23 yards gained
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Rams have dropped their last seven games against the number
In the BetUS NFL football betting odds, the Redskins are listed as a 13-point favorite, with a posted total of 44 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup (reflecting numbers going into the 2008 season):
* STL has lost its last eight games SU
* STL has lost its last seven games ATS
* STL has played five of its last six games OVER the total
* STL has covered three of its last ten road games
* STL has lost four of its last five road games SU
* STL has played seven of its last ten road games UNDER the total
* WASH has won and covered four of its last five games
* WASH has won and covered four of its last five home games
Also…
* WASH has won and covered six of the last eight meetings
* Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total
It is hard to gauge whether Jim Haslett, who was promoted from an assistant coach’s position to the head job after Scott Linehan was fired, will be bringing any more intensity to the table in St. Louis. And who is going to perk up this offense, which has had to gain 23 yards for every point it has scored, and is averaging less than 11 points per game. Marc Bulger is back in the lineup, an indication that there was dissatisfaction with taking him out and replacing him with Trent Green. The receiving corps is banged up, with Drew Bennett and Keenan Burton nursing injuries.
If we use the yards-per-point model, St. Louis is found particularly wanting, as opponents have scored a point for every 11.2 yards gained. That comes as disturbing news against a Washington offense that may have found itself in time to get right in the thick of the NFC East race. There’s nothing at all wrong with what Jason Campbell has been able to accomplish (6 TD’s, no INT’s), and Clinton Portis has taken things into high gear lately, with 121 and 145 yards in the last two games against Dallas and Philadelphia, respectively. The Rams, who allowed 245 yards against Seattle a couple of weeks ago and 200 against the Giants the week before that.
Whether it’s been Bulger or Green at the helm, St. Louis is not moving the ball downfield that well (averaging just 5.3 yards per pass). And as we know, the Redskin secondary is quick, smart, well-coached and can make plays. Haslett, who washed out in New Orleans, is not likely to get things rolling any time soon, and with internal unrest developing, injuries having taken their hold, and even though Steven Jackson’s 110-yard effort against Buffalo was encouraging, he is logging just 3.6 yards a pop, and will barely get to 1000 yards (a very attainable goal these days) over a full 16-game season.
It’s a lot of points to lay, but Washington possesses many more working parts right now. And Jim Zorn is pushing all the right buttons, so don’t expect a letdown even after division road wins against Dallas and Philadelphia. Lay the points with the ‘Skins, the 13-point favorite in the BetUS NFL betting odds.
