Week 12 NFL Lines: MNF Patriots vs. Saints

Monday Night Football Betting – Saints To Squeak By Patriots

The New Orleans Saints may be one of two undefeated teams in the NFL this year but you can rest assured that they will be measuring themselves against the New England Patriots, who are the barometer of success in the NFL.

The Saints have been impressive this year on both sides of the ball, which very well may be the difference in this game. Not only is the Saints offense dominating, the defense has been making plays as well as the additions of coordinator Gregg Williams and safety Darren Sharper have had a huge impact.

Time: 8:30 ET
Venue: Louisiana Superdome
Pats vs. Saints Monday Night Football Lines
MoneyLine: Currently OFF
Spread: Saints -1.5
Over/Under: 56.5

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This week, the Patriots come to town and while this game figures to be a shootout, the Saints have the better defense and home field advantage on their side. The Patriots typically have the best game plan regardless of who they face but that may not be enough if the Saints are as focused as they should be.

Patriots offense versus Saints offense

While Tom Brady and the Patriots offense struggled early on this year, they have found their rhythm in recent weeks.

Brady has five consecutive 300-yard passing games with 18 touchdowns and just four interceptions in his last eight contests. The Saints defense has a slew of injuries and a good Patriots offense will clearly take advantage.

Jonathan Vilma, Sedrick Ellis, Bobby McCray, Jabari Greer and Randall Gay are all going to be limited – if they even play – which means the Patriots should have advantages.

Saints offense versus Patriots defense

When you take a look at the Patriots win this season, they have one thing in common: they have beat up decent-to-weak opponents.

The Patriots six wins have come against the Buffalo Bills, the Atlanta Falcons, the Baltimore Ravens, the Tennessee Titans, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets. If you’ll notice, none of those teams have a record above .500. Meanwhile, two of the Patriots three losses have come against teams with winning records.

The big problem for New Engalnd has been their lack of pass rush. They have just 18 sacks on the year, which is sixth-fewest in the NFL.

The Saints offense is explosive and if the Patriots are not going to pressure Drew Brees, the Saints will pick them apart just like Peyton Manning did.

Outlook & Pick

While the Patriots are a tempting pick, the reality is that there a couple of slight edges that should side with New Orleans.

The Saints have the better pass rush and they are playing at home. While the Patriots offense should have their way, so will the Saints.

This will be a slugfest but you have to take the better defense and the team that’s playing at home.

Pick: Saints -1.5

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Dave Golokhov has written for BETUS Sportsbook, Sportsfanmagazine.com, FOX, Askmen.com, Sports-central.org, and the FOXSports.com Funhouse.