NFL Sportsbook: Broncos vs Redskins
Denver Broncos (6-2 SU & ATS) at
Washington Redskins (2-6 SU, 1-6-1 ATS)
Sunday, November 15 – 1 PM ET
In the BetUS NFL sportsbook odds, the Broncos are listed as a three-point favorite, with a posted total of 37 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
DEN has won and covered six of its last eight games
DEN has played seven of its last eight games UNDER the total
DEN has won and covered six of its last nine road games
DEN has played four of its last six road games UNDER the total
WASH is 1-6-1 ATS in its last nine games
WASH has lost five of its last six games SU
WASH has played 12 of its last 16 games UNDER the total
WASH has covered one of its last ten home games
WASH has played ten of its last 11 home games UNDER the total
WASH has covered four of the last five meetings
DEN has won four of the last six meetings SU
Washington still can’t score any points; in fact, the Redskins have yet to top 17 points all year. Jason Campbell, who isn’t the answer (or haven’t we said that already, going back to last season?) can’t get rid of the ball quick enough; he’s been sacked 25 times on the year and that is an inviting sight for Elvis Dumervil (who has 10.5 of Denver’s 26 sacks).
Of course, you have a team in Denver that is reeling from two losses in which they didn’t play very well, and lost badly in the NFL sportsbook. Kyle Orton was clearly rattled against the Steelers, as he was intercepted three times. What Washington does bring to the table is a stingy defense that has allowed less in the way of passing yards per game than anyone in the NFL (160 yards a game). It is a function – in part – of the schedule, where the ‘Skins seem to have played every lousy team in the National Football League. This has not been an especially opportunistic secondary, though, with just four interceptions.
If the Redskins are in their right mind, they will not play Clinton Portis on Sunday. Portis, who was averaging four yards a carry, suffered a concussion against Atlanta last week and is listed as doubtful. Hell, the rest of the offense has been “doubtful” every week.
Certainly Denver brings more fundamental advantages to the table, but are they enough to create some distance between themselves and the Redskins? Orton is not an explosive enough passer to have a considerable margin for error, and that running game, which is inconsistent, disappeared for the most part against Pittsburgh. Now Washington will, in all probability, be down two offensive weapons (tight end Chris Cooley is also out), the best they can hope for is to put together a couple of drives that might result in 14 points.
The Redskins have dropped ten of their last 11 home games in the NFL sportsbook odds, but they have also played ten of the last eleven under the total. We know that Denver is anxious to rebound, but we also acknowledge that they will have put in a coast-to-coast trip after a short week. The wisest course possible is to go UNDER the total of 37 points as it is posted in the BetUS NFL sportsbook betting odds.
OUR PLAY: UNDER 37 ***