NFL Betting – Week 14 Parlay
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This week’s parlay focuses on a few teams fighting for their lives: the Colts and Chargers. And we’ll have a look at Patriots/Bears game for good measure.
Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans
Thursday, December 9, 8:20 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Colts -3
Make no mistake: this is a must-win game for the Colts. Unless Jacksonville slips up, the Colts could very well have to win out if they want to reach the postseason.
But is there any reason why we should expect Indy to bounce back from its slide? The Colts aren’t getting any healthier. Joseph Addai won’t play Thursday, meaning Indy will struggle to run the ball (and pass protect) again. Austin Collie’s concussion will likely keep him out again, meaning the Colts will again lack sure-handedness in their receiving corps. So can we therefore expect Peyton Manning to bounce back from the worst slump of his career? Also, Indy can’t stop the run and has to face Chris Johnson.
Despite all those factors, I still lean Indy’s way. The Titans are broken. They have nothing to play for. They’ve lost five straight games and scored 17 points or fewer in four straight. I do expect more mistakes from Peyton Manning but it seems like the Colts only need about 24 points to win this game. And, despite their struggles, they’ve still scored at least 23 points in 10 of 12 games this year. Prediction: Colts 24, Titans 17
Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
Sunday, December 12, 4:15 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Chargers -7
Whoa, whoa, whoa. I know the Chargers are tops in the NFL in total defense and second in offense. But this team (a) lost to the Chiefs already this season and (b) went 0-2 against Oakland this year. I don’t see how oddsmakers can justify making the 6-6 Chargers, who are 1-3 in AFC West play, a seven-point favorite over the 8-4 Chiefs. I like the Chargers to win but I like this game to be closer than a touchdown. Prediction: Chargers 24, Chiefs 20
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears
Sunday, December 12 , 4:15 p.m. ET
NFL betting favorite: Patriots -3
It’s a testament to how dominant Tom Brady has been that the Pats are three-point road favorites against a 9-3 team. Even after beating the Jets 45-3, the Patriots are a bad defensive team, ranking second-worst in points allowed, so the Bears should score on them. But the Pats are the NFL’s highest-scoring team and the Eagles showed two weeks ago that Chicago’s secondary is beatable. Expect a high-scoring affair with Brady stealing the show again. Prediction: Patriots 35, Bears 28
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