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Best Matchups: NFL Week 1 Spreads

Q weighs in with a quick look at some of the AFC’s early NFL Week 1 lines, and best betting matchups…

Looking Ahead: Week 1 AFC Odds

The AFC schedule gets a head start on the NFC when the NFL season officially opens on September 10. With the defending champion Pittsburgh Steelers, the healthy New England Patriots, the explosive San Diego Chargers, and the steady Indianapolis Colts all calling the conference home, it would seem that the next Super Bowl winner will come out of the AFC.

Check out our Week 1 NFL betting odds

All of those teams begin their path to greatness in Week 1, with two of those franchises headlining a Monday night doubleheader.

Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4, 35)

The Steelers begin their title defense against one of last season’s biggest surprises. The Titans won 13 games last year, including a Week 16 victory over Pittsburgh at home. Tennessee won that game with Pro Bowl defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth on the sidelines due to injury.

Now Haynesworth has followed his wallet to Washington, leaving the Titans’ defense with a gaping hole in the middle of the line. Tennessee turns to DT Jason Jones and the rest of the line to make up for the loss of Haynesworth.

On offense, both teams will depend on the run to set up any passing plays. The Steelers’ traditional ground-and-pound offense struggled last season due to injuries to running back Willie Parker and backup Rashard Mendenhall. With both back at 100 percent, Pittsburgh should get back to business on the ground.

The Titans have one of the most dynamic rushing tandems in the NFL. Chris Johnson and LenDale White smashed and dashed for 94 yards per game last year, and have slick Michigan State product Javon Ringer backing them up.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-6.5, 45)

There are a lot of changes in the Colts organization this year, but the one constant is Peyton Manning. As long as No. 18 is behind center, Indianapolis has a shot at the Super Bowl.

The biggest concern for Colts backers heading into the first week of the season and the remainder of the schedule is the health of those players around Manning.

With Marvin Harrison out of the picture, receiver Reggie Wayne and tight end Anthony Gonzalez are Manning’s favorite targets. But besides those two sets of hands, the Colts’ receiving corps is wafer thin – as is the rushing attack. Running back Joseph Addai is made out of tissue paper and played in just 12 games in 2008, finishing with 544 yards on the ground.

But as long as everyone makes it through training camp, the Colts should cruise to at least a seven-point win over a Jaguars team coming off a house-cleaning offseason.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-10, 46.5)

Get your popcorn ready – this season’s initial Monday Night Football game has more storylines than a Dan Brown novel.

Everyone and their dog will be watching Tom Brady take his first snaps since having his knee destroyed in last year’s season opener. And, like any good defense, the Bills will test that surgically-repaired knee by keeping Brady on the run. As long as Brady hasn’t lost his football smarts, New England should exploit the blitz and score at will with the weapons they have.

Overshadowed in this Monday nighter is the debut of Terrell Owens in a Buffalo uniform. The brash wideout is no stranger to the big stage and would love nothing more than to steal the spotlight away from Brady. Owens still has the tools to do so, and goes up against a weak Patriots secondary.

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+6.5, 44)

Much like Brady, only scarier, Monday Night Football’s second game features the return of Shawne Merriman to the San Diego Chargers.

The All-Pro linebacker missed all but one game last season while recovering from knee surgery. Reports out of Bolts camp is that Merriman is itching for that first real hit of the year.

Merriman’s return boosts a defense which allowed 350 yards per game and ranked dead last in passing defense last season. San Diego needs more from defensive back Antonio Cromartie, who was terrible in 2008, and another solid season from Quentin Jammer.

Oakland will test the Chargers’ secondary with its group of young receivers. Quarterback JaMarcus Russell could be singing for his supper in the first few weeks of the season; if he doesn’t play up to the team’s lofty expectations, veteran arm Jeff Garcia will replace the former No. 1 overall pick.

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Thursday, September 10, 2009 (Eastern Time)
8:30PM 451 Tennessee Titans +4½  -110
  452 Pittsburgh Steelers -4½  -110
Sunday, September 13, 2009 (Eastern Time) BookMaker
1:00PM 453 Miami Dolphins +4  -110
  454 Atlanta Falcons -4  -110
1:00PM 455 Kansas City Chiefs +9  -110
  456 Baltimore Ravens -9  -110
1:00PM 457 Philadelphia Eagles +1  -110
  458 Carolina Panthers -1  -110
1:00PM 459 Denver Broncos +3  -125
  460 Cincinnati Bengals -3  +105
1:00PM 461 Minnesota Vikings -3  -105
  462 Cleveland Browns +3  -115
1:00PM 463 New York Jets +4  -110
  464 Houston Texans -4  -110
1:00PM 465 Jacksonville Jaguars +6½  -110
  466 Indianapolis Colts -6½  -110
1:00PM 467 Detroit Lions +11½  -110
  468 New Orleans Saints -11½  -110
1:00PM 469 Dallas Cowboys -3  -115
  470 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3  -105
4:15PM 471 San Francisco 49ers +6½  -110
  472 Arizona Cardinals -6½  -110
4:15PM 473 Washington Redskins +6  -110
  474 New York Giants -6  -110
4:15PM 475 St. Louis Rams +7  -110
  476 Seattle Seahawks -7  -110
8:20PM 477 Chicago Bears +3  -110
  478 Green Bay Packers -3  -110

By Cappers Picks

Articles on CappersPicks.com are written by Q (the Head Honcho) at Cappers Picks or by our resident "in house" handicapper Razor Ray Monohan! Enjoy the free picks folks! "Pad that bankroll one day at a time!"

One reply on “Best Matchups: NFL Week 1 Spreads”

The 2009 NFL season kicks off with a great match up between Tennessee and Pittsburgh. Everyone assumes that Kerry Collins will be the Titans starting QB for week one, but does Vince Young have any chance to win his spot back. This could be something to watch for during training camp.

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