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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Gambling Odds & Week 13 Free NFL Pick

New Orleans vs Atlanta Betting!

With the Falcons win last week over the Buccaneers they have the NFC South, pretty much wrapped up, but their only loss of the season was against the visiting Saints.

Venue/ Stadium: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Time/Date: 8:20 PM EST Thursday, November 29, 2012
NFL Odds From: WagerWeb
Moneyline: OFF
Spread: Falcons -3.5
Over/Under:  56

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New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Preview

New Orleans is under /500 at 5-6 and if they lose this game the playoffs may not be in the cards. The Falcons are 5-0 at home on the season and NFL lines have them as a 3.5-point home favorite with a total of 56.

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In their last games the Saints lost to the San Francisco 49ers 31-21 and the Falcons beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24-23.

On the season the Saints are 6-5 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-4 and the Falcons are 6-4-1 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 4-7.

Matt Ryan has no lack of targets with the likes of Roddy While, Julio Jones, and TE Tony Gonzalez and they will be facing a New Orleans pass defense that gave up 231 passing yards to the 49ers last week and overall ranks 13th in the league.

Ryan had over 400 passing yards in the Falcons loss to the Saints a couple of weeks back, but he got no help from the rushing offense. Michael Turner has not looked himself this season leading Atlanta and their 28th rushing offense and last week against Tampa he only had 17 yards on 13 carries. The New Orleans run defense has struggled all season and last week against San Francisco they gave up 144 rushing yards.

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Drew Brees threw 2 INT for TD last week against the 49ers, but in the win over the Falcons he passed for nearly 300 yards with 3 TD and 1 INT. He was only sacked 1 time in that game and the Falcons need to get to him like the 49ers did last week. If they do not he may have another big game.

The Saints had been running the ball well for a couple of games, but facing San Fran and their great rushing D they only had 59 yards on the ground. They rushed for 148 yards in the win over the Falcons this season and they need to establish the run again. They have a slew of RB’s that can move the chains and the Falcons only rank 22nd in the league in run defense.

In some betting trends for this NFC South match up the Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 21-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.

The Falcons are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and they have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Jason’s Pick: The Saints have covered the spread in their last 4 games facing the Falcons and that trend will continue. The Falcons have the best record in the league, but they have not looked that great and in this game New Orleans will cover the spread.

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About Jason Green

Jason Green is back with Cappers Picks again to give out his free sports plays. As always he's hoping the Braves and Redskins can win a championship since their last one in the 90’s was long ago. He’s starting to know the pain of Cubs fans.


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