NFL Handicapping – Rams vs. Dolphins Betting Spread / Matchup
The Rams (3-2) are coming off a great win handing the Cardinals their first loss sacking Arizona QB Kevin Kolb 3 times. The Dolphins are only 2-3, but they are coming off a solid home win over the Bengals.
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Venue/ Stadium: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
Time/Date: 1 PM EST Sunday, October 14, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Rams +160 / Dolphins -130 by BetOnline.com
Spread: Dolphins -3.5
St. Louis Rams vs. Miami Dolphins Preview
At 3-2 the Rams are over .500 for the first time in 6 seasons and they need a win to keep pace with the 49ers and Cardinals in the NFC West, as both teams are 4-1. NFL lines have the Dolphin as 3.5-point home favorites with a low total of 38.
In their last games the Dolphins beat the Cincinnati Bengals 17-13 and the Rams beat the Arizona Cardinals 17-3.
On the season the Rams are 4-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-3 and the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 3-2.
The Rams’ defense has led them to their last 2 wins where they have only given up 16 points. They will need to play good D since their passing offense only ranks 30th in the league and their rushing offense only ranks 22nd.
Sam Bradford has been playing well, but the Rams suffered a big blow in the win over Arizona with leading WR Danny Amendola being injured and he is out several games. Brandon Gibson and the other receivers have to step up against a Miami pass defense that has really struggled ranking 26th in the league.
While the Miami pass defense has struggled they have the best run defense in the NFL. Steven Jackson had a decent game against Arizona and he and Daryl Richardson will have a hard time running on the solid front line D of the Dolphins.
Ryan Tannehill only has 2 passing TD on the season, but he played well in the win over Cincinnati and his top WR is Brian Hartline, who leads the league in receiving yards. The Rams’ pass defense has been playing great lately and they have not allowed a passing TD in their last 3 games. The Miami offensive line must block DE’s Chris Long and Robert Quinn and keep them out of the backfield.
After a strong start Reggie Bush has failed to average over 4 yards per carry in his last 2 games and he will be facing a Rams’ run defense that ranks 18th in the league.
In some betting trends for this non-conference game the Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games, and they have an Under record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
The Dolphins are 9-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games, and they have an Under record of 13-6-1 in their last 20 games.
Jason’s Pick: ATS records be damned, as I think the Rams will ride their defense to a win in a very low scoring game.