Super Bowl XLVIII Futures
With the NFL postseason finally at hand we can look at Super Bowl odds and get a clearer picture of what to expect. A year ago it was Baltimore surprises many to overcome a tough slate of games and claim the Lombardi Trophy.
Let’s take a look at this year’s odds and see if we can find a diamond in the rough. Odds courtesy of Bovada.lv.
Denver Broncos +275
The preseason favorite of many, the Broncos took care of business during the regular year and enter the postseason as the top seed in the AFC. The AFC seems to be theirs for the taking, but the betting public has sucked any and all value from this line.
Seattle Seahawks +275
The Seahawks emerged the victors in an epically tough NFC West, and their prize is home field advantage throughout the playoffs. It’s tough to imagine an opponent going into Seattle and emerging victorious in one of the toughest places to play in football, but it’s even tougher to imagine anyone seeing any value in this line.
San Francisco 49ers +700
The 49ers started the season slow, and that means their road to the Super Bowl will be a little tougher, but the team will open against a Packers team that they’ve owned in recent years, and their ability to run the football and play strong defense translates well to playoff football.
New England Patriots +900
The Patriots are perennially the favorite of many to win the Super Bowl, and often with good reason. However, this year the team enters the postseason after having been decimated by injuries during the regular year. The name value has kept bettors on their side, but the Patriots just don’t have the horses to compete this year.
Carolina Panthers +1000
The Panthers deserve a ton of credit for taking a major step forward this year, and it starts in the middle of their defense with top linebacker Luke Kuechly. The team gets a bye and at least one home game to start the postseason, but they’re too one-dimensional on offense to pose a real threat this year.
Green Bay Packers +1100
Aaron Rodgers returning in Week 17 to lead the Packers to the playoffs makes for a great story, but he simply didn’t look like the Aaron Rodgers of old in that one. With a tough opening matchup, the Packers may not be around long this postseason.
Philadelphia Eagles +1500
The Eagles were a completely different team in the second half of the season, and the switch to Nick Foles was a big part of that. The team would have to win some big games on the road to get to the Super Bowl, but they went 6-2 away from Philadelphia in the regular season. They also quietly won seven of their last eight games to close out their schedule.
Cincinnati Bengals +1600
The Bengals have looked as good as anyone this postseason, particularly when playing at home, but let’s not forget about the rash of injuries they’ve dealt with on defense. A team that fails to show up as often as the Bengals do simply cannot be counted on to win four weeks in a row.
New Orleans Saints +2200
It’s always a fun story when a No. 6 seed runs the gauntlet of road matchups against top opponents to make the Super Bowl, but the Saints don’t seem to have that in them. Even if they were to get past Philadelphia this weekend, a date at Seattle awaits.
Kansas City Chiefs +2500
It wasn’t that long ago that the Chiefs were neck-and-neck with the Broncos near the top of the power rankings, yet they aren’t getting a lot of respect heading into the playoffs. The Chiefs are getting healthy at the right time, and while they may have to win out on the road, Andy Reid has a history of winning playoff games in hostile environments.
Indianapolis Colts +2500
The Colts were a mess after coming out of their break, and while things settled down towards the end of the season, their prospects for success in the playoffs aren’t great.
San Diego Chargers +4000
The Chargers backed their way into the playoffs and now face the daunting task of winning out on the road in order to get to the Super Bowl. It’s difficult to imagine them winning back-to-back games in Cincinnati and Denver, who combined to go 15-1 at home in the regular season.
The play: San Francisco +700, Philadelphia +1500, Kansas City +2500