Week Sixteen Gambling – N.Y. Jets vs Chicago Bears
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New York Jets vs Chicago Bears
Sunday December 26 – 1:00PM
Venue: Soldier Field – Chicago, Illinois
Broadcast: CBS
New York 10-4 (+100) vs Chicago 10-4 (-120) (Odds courtesy of Betus.com)
Spread Favourite: Chicago -1
Over/Under: 37.5
Go Inside This Matchup With Our NFL ATS Stats —>
(odds courtesy of BetUS – BET NOW Click Here!)
New York Jets
The Jets desperately needed a win last week and got it even though they were visiting a very good Pittsburgh team. A division title is looking unlikely but their positioning for the Wild Card is looking very good with just a couple of games left. Another victory and they are assured a spot in the playoffs but it won’t come easy visiting a Chicago team which is in a very similar situation.
New York didn’t do anything special last week, in fact they were out-gained by the Steelers by about 100 yards. They just didn’t make many mistakes and were able to capitalize on a a huge special teams play from Brad Smith who took the opening kickoff 97 yards for a score. They were steady the rest of the game playing most it with a lead which takes the pressure off QB Mark Sanchez.
These teams, both entering the contest with 10 wins, have been very similar ATS this season as well (8-6 vs 7-6-1). Looking closer the Jets have been a very solid 5-2 ATS on the road and 4-0 ATS when playing on natural grass, like they play on at vintage Soldier Field. They are also perfect in expected tight games, 2-0 ATS when the spread is 0 to +3 like it is this weekend. 
Chicago Bears
The Bears also needed to get back on the winning track last week after being pummeled by the Patriots…and they did with a good victory in the cold against the Vikings. One more win could guarantee them a first round bye and making sure that everyone, save Atlanta, would have to come through the Windy City.
The Bears looked very good on Monday. Defensively they were helped by facing rookie QB Joe Webb in his first real taste of NFL action but what was most impressive was the offense. Cutler proved that he can operate in the cold by throwing for 3 TDs and RB Matt Forte looked very fresh running for 92 yards on only 17 carries. It was the kind of total performance that a division winner should have.
The Bears should be expecting another bout of cold weather when they host the Jets on Sunday. This team is only 4-3 at home this season so it would be good if they can establish their ability to play in bad weather given the likelihood of them hosting a playoff game in just a few weeks. This week they play against a playoff calibre opponent in the Jets so it will be a good test.
The Pick: Two tough defenses in this one. I like the Jets offense a little better and I think they should feel a little more urgency to punch their playoff ticket this week on the road. I am on New York in what should be a real defensive battle. Jets are 6-1 on the road this year.
NFL Gambling Trends
Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Jets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Bears are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Bears are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
Score Prediction: New York 24 – Chicago 17
