NFL Handicapping – Jets vs Patriots Betting Spread / Matchup
Venue/ Stadium: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Time/Date: 4:25 PM EST Sunday, October 21, 2012
NFL Odds From: Bovada
Moneyline: Jets +400 / Patriots -500
Spread: Patriots -10.5
New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Preview
The Jets are coming off win while the Patriots are coming off a loss and every team in the AFC is at 3-3. The Pats have had the Jets number as of late and in their last 3 games facing them they have scored 112 points and given up 40. Tim Tebow has not seen much time under center this season, but since the RB corps is really banged up in this division match he may play in the backfield. NFL lines have the Patriots as big 10.5-point home favorites with a total of 47.5.
In their last games the Jets had no problem in beating the Indianapolis Colts 35-9 while the Patriots lost to the 24-23.
On the season the Jets are 4-2 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 3-3 and the Patriots are 4-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 4-2.
Mark Sanchez only passed for 82 yards last week, but he did have 2 TD and not only is the RB corps banged up, but so is the WR corps. He may have to carry the offense with his no-name wide-outs since the Pats’ run defense is good while their pass defense only ranks 28th in the league.
Jets’ RB Shonn Greene is healthy and his play is key in this game. He had really struggled all season and last week he blew up for 161 yards with 3 TD. However, that was facing a weak Colts’ run defense and this game he faces a New England run defense that ranks a solid 5th in the league.
Tom Brady passed for almost 400 yards in the loss to Seattle with 2 TD, but 2 costly INT’s. We all know that the Pats have a very solid WR corps, led by Wes Welker who ranks 2nd in the NFL in passing yards, and a couple of great pass catching TE’s. Brady has to avoid the INT and that will be easier in this game since star CB Darrelle Revis is out for the season.
Brady has 10 TD passes in his last 4 games facing the Jets and in their last meeting The Patriots beat the Jets 37-16.
After rushing for over 100 yards in 2 straight games Stevan Ridley only had 34 rushing yards averaging 2.1 yards per carry in the loss to the Seahawks. However, Seattle has one of the bets run defenses in the league while the Jets have one of the worst only ranking 28th in the league.
In some betting trends for this AFC East match up the Jets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, and they have an Over record of 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and they have an Over record of 16-7 in their last 23 home games.
Jason’s Pick: This one is an easy call, as even though the Pats are coming off a loss and I think they will easily win this game and cover the spread.