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NFL football betting action sees the Indianapolis Colts taking on the New England Patriots Sunday January 18th at Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA . Cappers Picks provides free NFL football handicapping tips all season long.
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Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
Venue/ Stadium: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Time/Date: 6:40 PM EST Sunday, January 18, 2015
NFL Betting Odds
NFL Betting Point Spread: Patriots -7.5
NFL Betting Over/Under Odds: 53.5
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Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Preview
On the season the Colts are 12-5-1 ATS and they have an O/U record of 9-9 and the Patriots are 9-8 ATS and they have an Under record of 10-7.
This season the Patriots are 8-1 at home and the Colts are 6-3 on the road.
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In their last games the Colts beat the Denver Broncos 24-13 and the Patriots beat the Baltimore Ravens 35-31.
Tom Brady and the Patriots head into another AFC title game at home where this season they are the 7.5-point betting favorite against the Colts. Brady and company have been here before while this will be the first conference title game for Indy QB Andrew Luck.
While Luck has had a great season and leads the Colts and their top-ranked passing attack the Indy defense was the main reason they upset the Broncos in Denver last week.
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That defense now has a tall task facing a New England offense that scored 42 points in a win over the Colts in Indianapolis in the middle of the season.
Luck has a solid WR corps, led by T.Y. Hilton, Reggie Wayne, and TE Coby Fleener and while the young QB was solid in Denver he was not great with 2 TD as well as 2 INT. The Pats have the leagues 17th ranked pass defense and they did have 2 picks in the Ravens game, but also gave up 4 passing TD and almost 300 passing yards.
The Pats have a legit run defense, but you could not tell last week facing Baltimore, as the Ravens galloped for 136 yards. Daniel Herron rushed for 63 yards in the Denver game, but only averaged 2.8 yards per carry and for Indy to pull off the upset their D has to play like last week and he has to help Luck out.
Brady has a deep WR corps and TE Rob Gronkowski had another 100+ yard receiving game last week. The Pats had over 400 passing yards and while the Indy pass D ranks 12th in the league they were great last week holding Manning in check.
Can Brady get any help on offense in this game? He had 50 pass attempts in the Baltimore game and he needed to carry the offense since they only had 14 rushing yards. The Indy run defense ranks 18th in the NFL and they played well last week.
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However, one of the main reasons the Pats beat up the Colts in their house in Week 11 was because New England rushed for 246 yards.
NFL Playoff Betting Trends
* Indianapolis is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Indianapolis is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
* New England is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.
* New England is 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* New England is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
4* Cappers NFL Free Pick
Ok, so the Pats have not been a great home betting team in the playoffs for the last several seasons, but Brady will not lose this one and New England will cover as well.
Check out our Updated NFL Playoff Odds.
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